France June Harmonized CPI Year-on-Year Preliminary Value

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The Fed's possible interest rate cut decision is becoming the focus of global markets. Let's explore the potential impact of this important event together. From the perspective of the US market, the main reason for the current high performance of US stocks is the large inflow of global funds seeking high interest rates into the United States. If the Fed really lowers interest rates, these funds are likely to seek investment opportunities with higher returns, which could trigger capital outflows. Considering that US stocks are currently overvalued, a certain degree of adjustment cannot be ruled out. For the Chinese A-share market, the Fed's interest rate cut may actually be good news. This will provide greater space for the Chinese central bank's monetary policy operations and may even prompt relevant departments to introduce some stimulus policies. Currently, the performance data of the CSI 300 Index has shown signs of improvement, which may indicate that the most difficult period for the economy has passed. However, in the short term, we must remain vigilant about two potential risks: first, if the U.S. stock market experiences a significant decline, it could trigger fluctuations in global market sentiment; second, domestic sectors such as AI and chips have seen substantial gains recently and may face correction pressure. It is worth noting that the possible interest rate cut by the Fed this time is different from the situation in September last year: the expectations for rate cuts have already been digested by the market; the A-shares are currently at a relatively high level; and regulatory authorities are more inclined to guide the market towards stable development. Based on the current situation, investment strategies to consider include: taking moderate profits on sectors that have increased significantly, while retaining core positions; at the same time, one can follow other investment opportunities such as commodities. If the Fed adopts a loose policy, it usually drives up commodity prices. Overall, in the long run, the Fed's interest rate cuts are beneficial for the market, but in the short term, caution is still required, especially for sectors that have recently seen significant gains. Investment opportunities always exist; the key is to effectively manage risks and not to rush in out of fear of missing out.