Golden Data Compilation: Investment Banks Look Ahead to the Dollar Trend Before the Federal Reserve's Decision

  1. BBH: If the expectation that the Fed will take a more hawkish stance after the interest rate meeting is true, the dollar may be supported. 2. Nomura Securities: High core inflation in the United States next year and Trump's tariff policy may strengthen the dollar next year. 3. Fanon Credit: Trump's policy is expected to shorten the Fed's easing cycle, which has boosted the dollar's attractiveness across the board. 4. UBS: The market is overestimating the likelihood that the Fed will keep interest rates high for a long time, and the fair value shows that the dollar is significantly overvalued. 5. Bank of America: The Fed's decision is unlikely to be the main driver of the dollar, but the prospect of a slowdown in the pace of rate cuts is positive for the dollar. 6. ING: There seems to be no reason for the Fed to surprise the dovish at this week's meeting, and we think the USD will be supported by this. 7. Danske Bank: If the Fed cuts interest rates tomorrow, the fortunes of Europe and the United States may turn around. Previously, the euro's decline was also limited after the decision of the European Central Bank on Thursday. 8. SPI Asset: The direction of the US dollar will largely depend on whether the Fed will signal a pause in rate hikes at the January FOMC meeting next year, rather than the rate cut itself on Wednesday.
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