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Recently, I have observed many investors' approaches and discovered an interesting pattern: many people buy cryptocurrencies as if they are playing the lottery, watching the price charts every day, getting excited when prices rise, and losing confidence when they fall. However, based on my five years of experience in this field, I know that price charts only reflect short-term market sentiment fluctuations. What truly determines whether a project can generate long-term value ultimately comes down to two factors—the quality of the team and the cohesion of the community. I have seen projects with beautiful candlestick charts that ultimately lost all their funds, and I have also seen projects with highly volatile candlestick patterns but with a loyal community that created real value in the end. The difference lies here.
Let's start from the "people" perspective, focusing on the project team. This is the first key indicator I use to evaluate a project—an honest and reliable team. Even if they encounter difficulties initially, they usually find ways to overcome them; whereas an unreliable team, no matter how appealing their concept, will eventually collapse.
How to judge whether a team is capable? The first thing is to see if they dare to reveal their identities publicly. If the core members are all anonymous and only speak behind nicknames, be extremely cautious. Unless, like Satoshi Nakamoto, they have a solid technical background to support them, but such cases are almost nonexistent. Most teams hiding in the shadows have a simple goal—making it easy to disappear after their scheme is complete.
Next, check their professional backgrounds. You can look up these individuals on LinkedIn or GitHub. If team members have previously developed successful technical products or held core technical positions at top tech companies, the project's credibility will significantly increase. Conversely, if the entire team consists of "newbies" in the crypto industry with no relevant professional experience, you should be extra cautious.
Now, let's look at the "community" aspect, which is actually the lifeblood of a crypto project.