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Trump tariffs offer few rewards to BTC block reward miners
Block reward miners are reeling from America’s chaotic approach to international trade relations and the uncertainty taking a toll on the BTC token’s fiat price.
April 2025 has definitely lived up (or down) to its reputation as ‘the cruelest month’ for U.S. block reward miners, as President Donald Trump’s incoherent global trade policies played havoc with their share prices and supply chains. For a brief moment, it seemed like things were ticking back upward, but this saga is anything but over.
Take MARA (NASDAQ: MARA), whose shares were trading around $14.60 late last month, well off their $30+ peak in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s re-election last November, but much better than their Thursday close of $11.74 (-4.6% for the day).
Similar plunges plagued other prominent miners, including Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT), which was trading around $8.75 at the end of March but closed Thursday at $6.79 (-8%). Riot shares are now down nearly 50% from their 2025 peak in late January Bitdeer (NASDAQ: BTDR) was just under $12 in late March but closed Thursday at $7.60 (-14%). Bitdeer is down more than 70% from its January peak. And so on…
Among miners, MARA is the most vocal proponent of a ‘BTC reserve strategy.’ MARA currently holds 47,531 BTC tokens, making it the second-largest publicly traded BTC hoarder after Michael Saylor’s Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy
NASDAQ: MSTR). On March 28, MARA announced plans to raise up to $2 billion via shares of its common stock to—surprise!—acquire still more BTC.
MARA hitching its wagon to BTC’s star means its share price moves in tandem with the token’s fiat value. MARA rode this rollercoaster as BTC went from over $86,000 on April 2—the day Trump first announced details of his tariff plan—to below $75,000 five days later.
BTC briefly bounced back up over $83,000 on April 9 after the crashing bond market forced Trump to rethink his tariff plans. However, the token dipped below $79,000 by midday on April 10 as the euphoria wore off, and everyone realized we were still stuck in a global trade war with no resolution.
And for the record, MARA’s $1.53 billion purchase of 15,574 BTC in December was made at an average token price of $96,000—$17,000 higher than its current price—making that deal nearly $265 million in the red. And they’re buying more?
Last chopper out of Saigon
Uncertainty over global trade has weighed particularly hard on miners, who rely on rigs made in China by companies like Bitmain and MicroBT. With Trump raising tariffs on China on an almost daily basis—they hit 145% on Thursday, effectively a trade embargo—the price of those mining rigs will go through the roof, and that’s if they’re allowed into the U.S. at all.
On April 4, The Mining Pod podcast featured Ethan Vera, CEO of miner Luxor, recalling how his company convened a “war room in which we’re all hands on deck” to discuss how to mitigate the tariff impact on importing mining rigs. Vera said U.S. miners were engaging in a “mad scramble” to arrange immediate shipments of foreign-made rigs before the tariffs kicked in.
Vera revealed that “people are renting … isolated planes to fly this over, they’re pressuring Bitmain to get … machines picked up from warehouses in an expedited manner.” Blockspace reported that some miners were “chartering flights at 2-4x the usual rate, anywhere from $2-3.5 million per flight.”
U.S. miners who didn’t act quickly enough are finding that the cost of new rigs is now prohibitively expensive. Hashlabs Mining CEO Jaran Mellerud suggested this could boost mining production outside the U.S. as Chinese manufacturers might be forced to offload excess inventory cheaply to non-U.S. miners.
There’s been some speculation that U.S. miners might choose to open new sites in other countries to dodge the tariffs. However, that risks earning Trump’s ire for effectively refuting his claims that tariffs will help bring business back to America, as well as acting contrary to his wish to make America the world’s undisputed heavyweight mining champion.
All this comes as miners are struggling with all-time high difficulty rates on the BTC network, pushing the cost of mining a single BTC—including the cost of constantly replacing those pricey rigs to keep pace with competitors—over $89,000, roughly $10,000 higher than the token is currently worth. So, um, not good.
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Transaction action
Fear not, struggling miners, because Trump’s transactional approach to, well, everything may offer mining companies—particularly those whose chief execs aren’t afraid to pucker up and kiss his ass—a way out of their hardware dilemma.
Speaking to the press following Wednesday’s tariff climbdown, Trump was asked whether he’d offer certain U.S. companies exemptions from the import tariffs that remain. Trump said that some companies, “by the nature of the company, get hit a little bit harder, and we’ll take a look at that.” Asked how he’d determine which companies qualified for exemptions, Trump said only: “Instinctively.” We get a sense of how Trump might proceed from reports that Jensen Huang, CEO of chipmaker extraordinaire Nvidia
(NASDAQ: NVDA)—which also makes mining-specific GPUs—had pitched Trump last week on allowing Nvidia to continue selling its most advanced H20 chips to China.
Following a $1 million-a-plate dinner at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort, at which Huang pledged to invest in new U.S.-based AI data centers, the government paused plans to slap more export controls on the H20 chips, despite national security concerns and America’s determination to ‘win’ the global AI race. See how it’s done, kids?
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American Bitcoin Proxy
Apart from openly selling political favors, Trump has other reasons for protecting the U.S mining sector, including the fact that his family is now part-owner of a mining group. The American Bitcoin Corporation (ABC) partnership/amalgamation with Hut 8 (NASDAQ: HUT) is barely a week old, but the company has already pushed ahead with its plans for a public listing by securing a stock symbol.
In its launch announcement, ABC hinted at plans for (initially) private investment and (ultimately) a public listing on the Nasdaq. Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot confirmed to Fortune that ABC would list under the symbol $ABTC, likely within the next two years, as Nasdaq rules won’t hold the symbol any longer than that.
Trump’s son Eric told Fortune that ABC would ultimately “become a Bitcoin proxy,” suggesting a similar path blazed by MARA and MSTR. Hut 8 currently holds 10,264 BTC on its balance sheet, but hopefully, Genoot was savvy enough to ensure that the 20% of the Hut 8 mining business he effectively gave the Trump family via the ABC deal doesn’t include BTC the company already worked so hard to acquire.
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Burn, baby, burn
During his 2024 election campaign, Trump promised miners that he’d scrap environmental regulations to ensure they had abundant supplies of cheap energy to power their operations. Trump extended the same pledge to companies with high-performance computing (HPC) operations supporting AI data centers (which includes the miners who ‘pivoted to AI’ as mining economics went south).
This week, Trump issued a flurry of executive orders aimed at fulfilling these energy pledges, including (deep breath) removing regulations that hinder coal mining, rescinding federal rules limiting coal-fired electricity generation, preventing states from overriding federal wishes to gut environmental laws, sunsetting existing regulations governing energy production, and utilizing every energy source possible to shore up electricity grids to meet the “demand driven by rapid technological advancements, including the expansion of artificial intelligence data centers.”
Trump may be willing to rubbish environmental concerns but some miners are still trying to offset the public perception that they’re consuming vast quantities of energy for no worthwhile purpose other than confirming speculative bets on BTC’s fiat price.
MARA, for example, is promoting its use of flared natural gas to power its operations in Texas and North Dakota. MARA said its partnership with ‘natural gas onsite neutralization’ specialists NGON Solutions has reduced 29,300 metric tons of “carbon dioxide equivalent emissions” by flaring the methane from oil wells in the two states.
So it’s no surprise that MARA came out strongly in support of the Facilitate Lower Atmospheric Released Emissions
(FLARE) bill issued last week by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). Cruz said the goal behind the bill was to make his home state “the number one place for Bitcoin mining.”
The four-page bill offers energy firms significant incentives for writing off the costs of gear used to intake natural gas and convert it to electricity. The bill includes “mining for digital assets” in the list of ‘applicable energy properties’ that qualify for the write-offs.
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Marching on
As always, the March 2025 production reports of publicly traded miners are listed below in descending order of magnitude. As referenced last month, this list no longer includes TeraWulf, which appears to have dispensed with its need to update investors on their monthly progress.
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