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Currently, BTC/USDT is at a key short-term position. Here is the analysis from an intraday technical perspective:
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Current Data Review:
• Latest Price: 84,477.4 USDT
• High: 85,750
• Support level: 84,089.7 (purple line)
• Resistance level: 85,241.3 (yellow line)
• KDJ three lines (K:47 D:49.2 J:42.7) begin to flatten, showing signs of a pullback.
• MACD (the red and green bars are tending to shorten) shows that momentum is weakening.
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Short-term trend speculation:
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1. Bullish momentum continues (Probability: 30%)
• If it breaks strongly above 85,241 and stabilizes, it is expected to challenge the range of 85,750-86,000 again;
• Need to cooperate with the increase in volume, otherwise it is easy to rise sharply and then fall back.
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2. Consolidation as the main focus (Probability: 50%)
• The current price is between the support level of 84,089 and the resistance level of 85,241;
• MACD contraction + KDJ stagnation indicates unclear direction, with strong market wait-and-see sentiment;
• May maintain the range of 83,800 - 85,500 for integer hours until the 1st.
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3. Break below support and retest (Probability: 20%)
• If it falls below 84,089.7 with increased volume, it may test around 83,500 to the downside;
• Be aware that if it falls below 82,900, it will enter a weak zone in the short term.
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Operating suggestions (not investment advice, for reference only):
• Take a wait-and-see approach, it is not advisable to chase prices in the short term;
• If the price effectively breaks through 85,250 with volume, consider adding to long positions with a light position size;
• If it drops below 84,000 and is accompanied by increased trading volume, bears may dominate, and it is necessary to carefully manage risks.