DeadlyChickenCutlet

[📈0502 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
After a long period of consolidation, BTC finally retested the initial low of 59,000 and has fallen with no signs of recovery
The daily chart needs to pay attention to whether the price action above 59,000 can be made today and tomorrow, if it does not appear and the weekly line finally closes below 59,000, then the follow-up trend is not optimistic, and it is likely to test the previous consolidation level of 51,000 again
The current operation strategy is to observe whether there can be a strong price action at the 1-hour level to retrace above 59,000, if there

[📈0427 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC Recently, the market has continued to consolidate, and it has not changed too long much, and the position of the POC on the hourly line has been blocked fall, and it is currently testing the consolidation area of the 1-hour level, and on the whole, it still does not feel that the long has failed, and the hourly level has also created a higher high, the trend is not broken, and the idea of maintaining a low go long is maintained
The best scenario for the next move is to retract after testing below 0.618-0.66 (about 62,100-62,500), and if it can retract above

[📈0423 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC At present, the monthly, weekly, and even daily lines are not extremely strong, but there is no sign of decline; the hourly level is also a gradual rise in the highs and lows, but if it can retrace to make up for the previous period of the pump gap, or even fall break through the entire box range and then retract it will be a better signal to enter the go long
At present, the hourly level comes to the position of the POC (almost longing 67,000), and when you come to this position again, you need to observe whether there is a fakeout to retrace the line, and

[📈0419 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC 目前出现罕见的负资金费率,这个代表说当前go long的流动性不高,所以比起继续下fall shorting,往上拉的可能性会更高点;另外小时级别上,有破了下降趋势线,对于转变市场框架的前高 64,480 虽没有breakthrough,有点受到水平压制,但也没形成很不愿意看到的fakeout价格行为,这样的走势反而能期待会出现一个缓慢上涨的突破、转变 1 小时级别的走势框架
如果有尝试在 61,000 nearby,因市场框架转变开到单的,可以观察后续如果再次碰到小时级别上的前高位置,若出现fakeout可以在 64,000 进行第一take profit,但如果出现缓慢上涨突破,一样可以继续拿著,毕竟回顾历史,Bit币出现负资金费率的情况并不long见
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[📈0417 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC is currently still seen as a range consolidation at a high level for the time being, and the daily level has tested the 0.618-0.66 position up and down, including the current recovery of the 0.618-0.66 (62,169-62,466) range above; and the entire high box range lower edge low 59,000 has not formed a breakdown, the whole general trend, is still long, it is not recommended to shorting the current position, it is better to appear around 61,000, Or entering the market after the price action falls and recovers, it will be a better solution
In addition, the last ti

[📈0408 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC as previously predicted to break through the triangle convergence, and with the volume of breaking, is currently stepping back, you can try to go long, the first take profit can be placed near 73,700 of ATH, the probability of reaching this position I think is quite high;
If it touches the historical high position again, and the hourly price breaks up and quickly recovers, you can consider shorting near the ATH position and bringing a good stop loss, so that even if the main force wants to set up a short position, the loss is not large, but the winning rate

[📈0406 BTC Quotes Analysis 📈]
BTC is currently continuing to trend a triangle convergence, and at the 1-hour level, it has taken a Fibonacci spiral, down 0.618, up 0.618, down 0.618, and now it has come to the position of rising 0.618, and at the same time can draw an AB=CD trend;
Follow-up actions
📍 If it falls below the lower edge of the triangle convergence and then recovers, you can enter the market to go long
📍 If you break through the upper edge of the triangle convergence and take a false breakout, you can enter the short
📍 If you can directly break through the upper edge of the tr

[📈0405 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
The current trend of BTC is the same as the day before yesterday, it may be taking a triangle convergence pattern, and the current 1-hour level has risen strongly, and there has been no sharp decline in the negative line, etc., short-term operation is mainly long
Follow-up observation of two points
📍If there is a sharp fall below 67,500 again at the 1-hour level, and the rebound fails to break through this level again, you can enter the market and take a short position
📍 If it continues to rise, go to the daily triangle convergence position to observe whether

[ 黄金上涨 美国 interest rate cut 预期 again 👀 ]
黄金价格跟实质interest rate 负相关、美元指数跟实际interest 正相关、美元指数跟bit币自 2021 年开始是负相关,等于黄金跟Bitte 币基本上是正相关,一样都是回归到interest rate walking 势,目前需观察的就是劳力市场是否会出现显有走weak 情况、不否則是需要一些黑天鹅事件让经济直接性的衰退,才可能进一步的Rate Cut,
我失心认为黑天鹅事件可能比失业率上升还大,现在市场客观看明还是过热表现,但却一直有降息宣言出现,这是为什么?
美国的经济体系呈现在崩溃边缘,他们现在的负债已经高到几乎无力偿还,若再不降interest rate,,,,,,,,不急吗?
降是一定会降,但是这个代价就是通膨可能再次sweep而来,面对通膨需要做的是选择保值性商品,涨幅高于通膨精細化,而这也是带动黄金、比特币后续还会再持续攀升的主要因素,不光仅仅是贝莱德入场比特币现货 ETF 这样而已
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[📈0403 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
Looking back at what I said yesterday, I was expecting that if he could quickly recover after filling the previous gap, it would be an excellent time to go long, but unfortunately there was no price action in the fast recovery range on the 1-hour level, and there was no planned plan, so it would not be operated
At present, from the BTC weekly and daily lines, it seems that the state is indeed not very good, but it is not so much bad, it feels more like a magnified consolidation area or a triangle convergence pattern, because the current structure is still a high

[ Squeeze dry with ether 👀 ]
以太币从 LIDO 质押获得 stETH,拿到后拿去 ether.fi 上再质押 stETH 获得 eETH,但目前再质押已经质押满了,无法于 ether.fi 上面进行,不过后续很可能会提高质押上限限额
在美 pendle is because of 为推出再质押,把 ether.fi 的 eETH 再拿来质押,获得 YtETH、PtETH,这也是 pendle 币价飙涨的原因
但这些都已经涨过了,现在可以期待的是还没发币的 Renzo 支持多链跟 Puffer 预言机相关这两个平台代币,所以目前如果要操作再质押可以优先选择这两个累积积分,而其中我觉得又以 Puffer 发币的概率是更大一点
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[📈0402 BTC Quotes Analysis 📈]
The closing line of BTC weekly and daily is still very beautiful, and it is above the historical high of 2021
On the hourly level, showing a high-level box shock, if there is a short-term fall to 66,800-67,500 in the previous period of rapid pull-up position, and quickly retract into the box (around 68,500), it will be a very good time to go long, and the follow-up is likely to directly break through the 😎 previous high
But if it can't fall for a long time like now, it is necessary to continue to move sideways at a high level, and when the finishing time is get

🔥[ Aptos outbreak is coming 🔥 ]
APT is one of the few non-EVM public chains in this round of bull market, supported by FB and large exchanges, and now the price has reached an all-time high, if it breaks through the subsequent rally, I dare not think about it;
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[ How Bitcoin 👀 Drawdowns ❓ Performed in April of the Calendar Year ]
BTC weekly line closed very well, but after the closing line began to kill from eight o'clock in the morning, at present, from the perspective of technical analysis, in fact, there is no exhaustion signal, and even the entire fundamentals, except for the halving, the second half of the interest rate cut expectations, etc., all are pointing in a good direction, completely optimistic, even if the morning kill, it seems that it can't be cut, the same remains in the high shock range
Looking back on the trend in the past 4 month

[📈0328 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
BTC is currently out of a very good trend on the daily level, and the previous short orders that fell below the 21-year historical high have been trapped, which has produced a benign development for the subsequent rise
Now weekly, daily, and even to the hourly level, the trend is good, the only thing to pay attention to is the high point of the pin on Wall Street in the morning the day before yesterday, Wall Street will often make a false breakthrough at 8:30 and 9:30 in the morning;
📍 If there is a false breakout, you can also try a small short
📍 Be conservat

[ RWA Circuit 👀 ]
Tobelade's Fu, Ondo Finance was blown up and pulled a wave, and at the same time, it also drove the OM, XRWA, CPOOL, GFI, SMTX, TRU, etc. of the RWA track to lead the rise
If it is on the previous round, you can pay attention to TRU, the technical line chart has broken through the resistance level of 0.14 on the weekly line, and if it can fall back and not break here, it will be a good time to enter the market (of course, you can enter the market directly now), but we have an expectation that there may be a wave of sharp decline after the Bitcoin halving, and you can wait fo

[ 币圈赚钱逻辑 👀 ]
不断重enact的历史,在复制贴上最代表应该就属 2021 年 NFT,was washed by each 种头像, 一堆贺人疯出their own 头像扫钱,and 币圈 fried 新不fried 旧, previously fried Ethereum L2,OP fried finished 现在轮到再质押 ETHFI fried 个没天良、然后接著以Ethereum L2 fried finished换 BTC L2 merlin 继续
同样链游,之前的 Axie Infinity,现在是 Zeeverse,感觉 NFT 到时候会再卷土重来一次
In addition, it is the dai 币 itself, the cottage 币 in the early bull market 涨幅不会 such as bit 币大, etc. BCT 减半确认破前高、美偔储策略开始转向降interest rate,才会开始带动 Ethereum and other cottage 币上涨,,这些 are all things in the second half of the year
回顾上一轮牛市,2020/05 bit币减半后,从 9-11 月,只涨不跌,这时期也正是山zhai 币拥有爆炸性成长的时候,so 留有一定的现金才能应付可能

[📈0327 BTC Market Analysis 📈]
Although the BTC weekly line closed below the 2021 historical high, it is not considered a declining trend due to the strong closing pattern, and it is still bullish in the short term
At present, two hours ago, there was a test near the historical high of 2021, and the subsequent rapid recovery is also a good performance, and the handicap is also showing a volume increase in price, although a small divergence may lead to subsequent consolidation, but if it can continue to maintain above 68,900-69,100 for consolidation, it is also a good development
At the curren

[ 项目方开始在 OTC 市场进行套利 👀 ]
跟之前比特币要开始上涨一样,先从场外交易开始进行买到一定的量后,才会进入到exchange,进到交易所,进到交易所后才会正式体现、对价格产生挤压,后续迎来大幅上涨;而现在就是反过来,先从场外开始卖出,部分止profit收回资金
之前说过,过去几轮都是减半后才迎来正式的上涨,而大幅上涨会出现在减半后的半年,这次比特币回撤不到 20% 后就反弹,说明后续非常概率是创出新高才后,formally 30% or even more fell back, 进entered the small bear market, and then fell into the official big bull market
虽然家的觉得这次有机构intervention,跟之前不同,但这就跟币圈独立事件一样,是必然发生的循环,即使觉得再impossible;如果你口中现金仓位还够多,回调加仓就好,如果不够多,之后approach前高、甚至创出高点,都可以分批出一点货,尽量让手中有维持 30-40% 的现金仓位,有助于更好应对接下来的行情
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🔥 [ Narrative Full 100 Coins STX 🔥 ]
The Satoshi Nakamoto testnet of Stacks was launched on March 25, and the mainnet is expected to be activated in the last two weeks of May
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