Recently, a major signal emerged from the prediction markets—the odds of Trump’s economic advisor Hassett becoming the next Fed Chair have surged to 82%. Why is this news making the markets nervous? Because behind this personnel change may lie the key to rewriting the rules of global liquidity.



This frontrunner is an out-and-out dove. He has publicly expressed support for immediate rate cuts multiple times, and his economic philosophy aligns closely with Trump’s. If the central bank really ends up led by a more aggressive pro-easing figure, the imagination of both traditional finance and digital asset markets could quickly expand.

What's subtler is his connection to the crypto industry. Public records show he holds over $1 million in Coinbase stock and has served on its advisory board. Some observers believe he may view digital assets as a strategic lever for US financial competitiveness. This background gives the crypto community a faint whiff of policy friendliness.

The timeline is also worth noting. Based on the process, the formal nomination will most likely happen in early 2026, with the new chair expected to take office around May next year. The market is already starting to bet on the pace of rate cuts in the “post-Powell era.”

So, this personnel game is essentially a repricing of liquidity expectations. If the central bank ends up led by a “crypto-savvy” dove, what kind of chain reaction could that trigger for mainstream assets like BTC and ETH? What do you think about the impact of this policy variable?
BTC0.1%
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zkProofGremlinvip
· 12-05 16:59
An 82% odds feels a bit shaky, Powell’s influence runs deep, and even if there’s a change, it might not be as radical as people imagine. A combination of crypto-savvy and dovish sounds sexy on paper... but the Fed chair doesn’t have as much power as you think. Feels like the crypto crowd is indulging in self-hypnosis again—every time it’s “new chair, market will moon,” but what actually happens? The whole million-dollar Coinbase stock thing isn’t really a big deal; all the big players allocate like this, it doesn’t prove anything. Liquidity easing ≠ guaranteed Bitcoin pump. That logic is way too simplistic; markets aren’t that dumb. Instead of betting on personnel changes, it’s better to look at where the global economy is headed in 2026—that’s the real variable. That said, if someone truly knowledgeable about crypto took the helm, policy might actually improve... but five months is a long time to wait.
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MEVSupportGroupvip
· 12-05 02:00
82% odds? The crypto community must be hyped now—dovish + understands crypto + money printing, that’s a full combo of skills. But honestly, whether you can trust these numbers from prediction markets is still questionable... I wouldn’t dare to go all in betting on this anyway. Coinbase stock holdings are already in the millions of dollars—this web of relationships is interesting, but no matter who becomes chair, the market will always come up with a narrative. When liquidity is released, everyone benefits; it’s just a matter of when the drop actually happens. Previous expectation gaps have burned plenty of people. They don’t take office until May, and people are already speculating on something so far off? Or is this just an early pump taking advantage of the window? Does dovish automatically mean BTC will go up? I feel like that logic chain is a bit too straightforward.
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AirdropHunter007vip
· 12-03 11:51
An 82% payout rate is really unsustainable—if this goes through, the crypto world will take off immediately.
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AlwaysMissingTopsvip
· 12-03 11:46
An 82% probability is indeed a bit harsh, but honestly, if this guy really makes it to the top, I’d actually be a bit worried... Dovish easing sounds nice, but I’m just afraid the bubble will burst in the end. As for holding Coinbase stock, I feel like people are overanalyzing it. Maybe he just wants to make some money, haha.
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Frontrunnervip
· 12-03 11:45
The Fed is really about to change this time, dovish + crypto-savvy? BTC expected price could skyrocket. But wait, has the 82% odds already been priced in, and the appointment isn't until May next year? Would entering now mean buying the top? Millions of dollars in Coinbase stock... this person really understands the logic of the crypto space, unlike Powell who’s so rigid. A liquidity easing cycle is coming, I actually believe in this pace. The key is whether the TRX team can really implement the policies. Hard or soft landing, that’s the real question.
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TooScaredToSellvip
· 12-03 11:34
82% odds are real, this time it's not the boy who cried wolf, right? --- A dove who understands crypto at the helm... Why does this script feel a bit too perfect? --- Hold on, don't run, the liquidity turning point has arrived. --- A million dollars in Coinbase stock? Isn't this signal a bit too obvious, haha. --- Not taking office until next May, how do we get through these next several months? --- Powell is stepping down, does crypto really have hope this time? --- Once the rate cut expectation is locked in, how could BTC not skyrocket? --- I just want to know if this is yet another topic being hyped up in advance. --- Rather than guessing policy, it's better to let the market do the talking. --- If this round flops, I'll never trust the prediction market again.
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CrossChainMessengervip
· 12-03 11:33
Hassett taking the position? The crypto world is about to skyrocket; this time it really looks promising.
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