#ETH走势分析 The moment the account balance refreshed on Friday night, that number—570,000—flashed on the screen for three seconds. I didn't move, just stared at it. Like looking at a display behind a glass window.

Those screenshots of candlestick charts that used to make me get up in the middle of the night, the trade signals from influencers, the 400-person group chats—all just noise in hindsight. The real money that lands in your pocket automatically filters all that out.

I've been in Hong Kong for 11 years, an “off-the-books” crypto trader. No mentor, no guidance. The year I got liquidated, I was left with 30,000 USDT and a laptop with poor cooling. That was all I had, and over ten years I ground it up to 4.8 million USDT. There’s no secret—just treat every trade as a task: today’s principal must be 0.5% more than yesterday’s, that’s it.

I’ve summed up six homegrown rules and stuck them on the side of my monitor. Each one was paid for in real money:

**Sharp pumps, slow drops** — The whales are still accumulating. When you see a sprint-like pump followed by a slow, leisurely pullback, it means they're not done collecting. Don’t get shaken out.

**Hard dumps, weak bounces** — This is a trap, not a bottom. After a flash crash, if the rebound is limp, it’s just giving you a chance to get cut up, not an opportunity to buy in.

**Low volume at the top is deadliest** — Stagnant water. It looks calm on the surface, but it’s actually suffocating. If you jump in, you’ll drown. With heavy volume, you might have a chance to swim; with shrinking volume, there’s not even a chance to struggle.

**Single volume spike at the bottom is usually a trap** — A real bottom first grinds retailers down until they capitulate and volume dries up, then suddenly volume surges and price lifts. That’s when the whales are actually entering.

**Volume is the water level, candles are the boat** — How high the boat floats depends on the depth of the water, not how pretty the boat looks. In a low-volume market, no matter how good the green candle looks, it’s fake.

**Being all in cash is peak condition** — Holding coins makes you anxious, watching the market makes you restless. Clear your positions first, only then can your mind be clear. Being in cash isn’t taking a break—it’s waiting for a signal that’s actually worth acting on.

This market never sleeps, and there’s always plenty of opportunity. What’s lacking isn’t the market—it’s traders who can spot signals, wait for the right moment, and have the discipline to hold back. I’m putting these methods out here—go your own way, and feel free to use them if you find them helpful.