晚间操作策略

Is ETH going to be finished this time? Today, the hype on social media has been fermenting, and Wall Street institutions are starting to openly short $ETH ! The US short-selling firm Culper Research has publicly announced a short on Ethereum, even directly saying: "V God is selling, what are you panicking about?" Xiao Shuai took a closer look, and here are the specific reasons for the short 👇: 1️⃣ Epic calculation error, gas fees plummeted 90% After Fusaka upgrade, transaction fees actually dropped by 90% (expected only 10-30%). The development team misjudged demand elasticity, estimating it at 3-9 times, still using the outdated model before EIP-1559 and large-scale L2 adoption. 2️⃣ From deflation to inflation Fee income collapsed → ETH burning sharply decreased → tokens shifted from deflationary to inflationary. Ethereum’s core economic flywheel has stalled. 3️⃣ Validator earnings cut in half Validator tip income plummeted 40-50%, reducing staking attractiveness. A vicious cycle has started: earnings ↓ → staking demand ↓ → network security questioned → price ↓ → more sell-offs. 4️⃣ Founders keep selling... I swear, Vitalik has sold nearly 20,000 ETH this year, worth about $40 million at current prices. Culper directly said: "Vitalik knows where the problem lies, so he’s selling. We stand with V God." Turns out, V God might be the biggest short on ETH? 5️⃣ Data falsification? The so-called “surge in active addresses” has actually been address poisoning attacks and dust attacks (scam techniques), and real demand has never significantly increased. The metric cited by the ETH bulls has been discredited. In other words, Ethereum, in its quest to scale, has inadvertently destroyed its own economic flywheel. Vitalik is selling, while bulls like Tom Lee are still throwing money into a bottomless pit. So here’s the question: do you still dare to buy the dip?

【$SOL Signal】Pullback to go long! 1H oversold rebound imminent, clear signs of main force supporting the market $SOL The 1H timeframe is severely oversold, RSI has dropped to 26.5, and the price is consolidating around 84.5, indicating a typical buffer structure after a sharp decline. Although the 4H trend is downward, open interest remains stable, showing no signs of panic selling. Combined with negative funding rates, there is potential for a short squeeze rebound. Market depth shows buy orders accumulating in the 84.4-84.5 range, with solid support below. 🎯Direction: Go long (pullback entry) ⚡Entry/Order: 83.64 - 84.48 🛑Stop Loss: 82.90 🚀Target 1: 86.50 🚀Target 2: 88.00 🛡️Trade Management: - Execution Strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry price. Hold remaining position to aim for Target 2. If the price pulls back and breaks below the lower boundary of the entry zone, abandon this trade. Deep Logic: The price plummeted from 87.2 to 83.9 within an hour, but open interest did not drop sharply, indicating it’s not purely a long squeeze; there may be main force absorbing the sell-off. The 1H RSI is deeply oversold, suggesting a technical rebound is needed. The current price is close to the upper boundary of the suggested entry zone, making it an excellent position to bet on a short-term rebound. In a negative funding rate environment, short positions have higher costs, and any upward movement could trigger short covering. View real-time market 👇 $SOL --- Follow me: Get more real-time analysis and insights on the crypto market! $BTC $ETH $SOL ‍#我在Gate广场过新年 #GateforAI重磅上线