1. Technical Agent (Candlestick Pattern):

• Long-term cycle (Chart 1, Daily): Declining from the 3044 high on 2026.1, MA7/30/60 death cross, BOLL channel continues to narrow and tilt downward, LB support at 1860 not yet broken, currently 2157 is below MA7 (2205) and far above MA105 (2589), classified as "downtrend channel continuation."
• Medium-term cycle (Charts 2/3, 4H-1D): Typical head-and-shoulders top/double top (2384-2349 consecutive tops), neckline approximately 2150-2097, volume increase after breakdown, MACD death cross, KD high-level blunting (Chart 3 K78/D65), short-term oversold signals emerging.
• Short-term cycle (Chart 4, 15m-1h): Small bullish candle at end of US session recovered part of losses, MACD golden cross (+0.97), DIF crossed above DEA, KD overbought (K82/D71), WR extremely low (-5.58), forming hammer/engulfing bullish early pattern, suggesting US session panic selling partially exhausted.
Conclusion: Short-term K-line shows "stop-loss signal," Asia session likely to see low-level oscillation rebound (2180-2200 test), but remains downtrend rebound before breaking 2097, not reversal.

Technical short-term bearish but oversold + on-chain strong buying + news structural positives → Asia session high probability low-level oscillation rebound (2150-2097 support zone likely to hold), rebound target 2180-2220 (MA7/previous neckline), if volume breaks through 2220 can target 2300. Extreme downside risk (break 2097) probability <30%, due to no major selling pressure on-chain. Asia session volume typically lighter than US session, volatility expected to narrow to 1-2%.

Intraday short-term contract operation strategy (Gate perpetual, recommended 1-4h level)
• Core approach: Long bias at low levels, short bias at highs as auxiliary (utilizing negative funding rates makes longing more cost-effective). Strict risk control, leverage ≤5-10x, single position stop loss 1%.
• Long strategy (recommended primary position):
• Entry: Batch long at 2150-2120 zone (Chart 4 hammer confirmation + on-chain outflow support).
• Targets: 2180 (first), 2220 (second), batch take profits.
• Stop loss: Break 2097 (clear low point in chart).
• Add position signal: MACD sustained golden cross + KD golden cross above.
• Short strategy (auxiliary/rebound high sell):
• Entry: Rebound to 2180-2200 resisted by bearish candle for short.
• Targets: 2130-2100, batch take profits.
• Stop loss: 2220 (acknowledge loss if broken).
• Risk reminder: If Asia session early morning (Beijing time 8-12 hours) shows volume-less sideways consolidation, directly reduce position and observe; if MACD death cross before US session replay (tonight), switch to short.