The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged in May is 73.4%.

Jin10 data reported on April 11: According to CME’s “The Federal Reserve (FED) Watch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate in May is 73.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 26.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate until June is 13.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 64.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 21.5%.