#BTCPriceAnalysis

Bitcoin entered October 2025 with high expectations, but a sharp mid-month drop pushed investors back into cautious territory. In this article, we examine BTC’s recent price movements, market dynamics, investor behavior, and strategic approaches in detail.

Market Overview and Technical Indicators
In the first week of October, BTC surged to $126,000, testing its all-time high. However, on October 11, a sudden crash dragged the price down to $102,000. Since then, BTC has stabilized around $113,000.

Key technical indicators:
- Current price: $113,000
- 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): $124,800
- 200-day SMA: $114,500
- 14-day RSI: 52.51 – Neutral zone
- Volatility: 2.26%
- Green day ratio: 16 out of the last 30 days (53%)

These figures suggest BTC is moving steadily in the short term, with upward potential in the medium term.

📰 Recent News and Macro Factors

On October 11, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, sending shockwaves through global markets. The statement affected not only equities but also the crypto space. Within 24 hours, 1.6 million investor positions were liquidated, wiping out approximately $19 billion from the market.

According to CryptoQuant data, sell orders in derivatives markets surged rapidly. However, this pressure began to ease shortly after the drop, indicating a possible recovery ahead.

Investor Behavior
1. Long-Term Holders (HODLers)
On-chain data shows this group continues to hold BTC in their wallets. This behavior reduces supply and helps support price levels.
2. Short-Term Traders
These investors base their trades on RSI and SMA levels. The $118,000–$125,000 range is seen as a critical resistance zone. Any movement toward this range tends to trigger profit-taking.
3. Institutional Investors
With the expansion of Bitcoin ETFs, institutions are entering the market more steadily. Their large-volume trades contribute to reduced volatility.

Strategy Recommendations
🔹 Short-Term Strategy
If the $110,000 support level holds, positions targeting $125,000 can be considered. Since RSI is neutral, stop-loss protection is advised against sudden moves.

🔹 Medium-Term Strategy
As long as BTC remains above the 200-day SMA, positions can be maintained. Low volatility favors a gradual accumulation strategy.

🔹 Long-Term Strategy
Institutional interest and on-chain metrics support BTC’s long-term growth potential. A dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach is recommended for consistent accumulation.

Conclusion
October 2025 has been a month of both record highs and sharp risks for BTC. The macroeconomic shock forced investors to reassess their positions. Yet, technical indicators and on-chain data suggest the market still holds recovery potential.