[Urgent] The probability of 100% tariffs has dropped to 9%! A major turning point in the China-U.S. trade war, global markets are迎 coming to a critical inflection point.

The market is focused on the China-U.S. trade agreement, and concerns about tariffs have eased somewhat.
The likelihood of a 100% Chinese tariff has significantly decreased to 9%.
The market's hope for reaching a trade agreement is increasing.
The easing of trade tensions may boost investor sentiment.
The threat of tariffs is receding, and market optimism is rising.
The likelihood of the United States imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese imports before November 1 has dropped to just 9%. This significant decline reflects growing confidence among investors that the two countries may be reaching a trade agreement.
Just a few weeks ago, the threat of such high tariffs had the market on edge. However, now, factors such as diplomatic negotiations, economic pressures, and shifts in political focus are working together, indicating that the future will take a more moderate path. As a result, risk sentiment has improved, and the stock market has responded positively.
The trade agreement is expected to intensify risk appetite.
The market interprets the easing of tariff threats as a signal of a thaw in Sino-U.S. tensions. Given that global supply chains are still recovering and inflation poses ongoing challenges, a full-scale trade war would have a devastating impact on both sides.
Potential trade agreements may benefit key industries such as manufacturing, technology, and consumer goods, which have previously been severely impacted by multiple rounds of tariffs. The reduction of friction between the two economic giants also helps stabilize emerging markets and global trade flows.
Investors are currently repositioning as they anticipate that the United States and China may reach at least a partial agreement to prevent further economic pressure in 2026.
The possibility of imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese goods before November 1 has decreased to 9%. The market seems to be anticipating a trade agreement.
Things worth paying attention to in the future
Despite optimism, the situation remains turbulent. Political rhetoric, unexpected policy moves, or unforeseen economic data could quickly change expectations. However, current trends indicate that both Washington and Beijing are seeking to avoid escalation.
Currently, market sentiment is clearly shifting from fear to hope. If an agreement is reached or negotiations accelerate, we may see a broader rebound in risk assets including stocks, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. #中美贸易战新进展