2025-12-25 16:24:04

The recent market trend indeed lacks excitement. However, it is worth noting that $23 billion worth of Bitcoin options are set to expire collectively tomorrow, which could become a variable in the market.

Historically, such large-scale option expirations tend to increase volatility, but they do not necessarily mean a sharp decline—much depends on the market's hedging and closing efforts and overall liquidity conditions. Prices are likely to be attracted toward the point of maximum pain, but the specific direction will depend on how funds are betting.

The strategy for ordinary retail investors is simple: allocate a $10 position and then go to sleep. Sometimes, not watching the market can lead to more stable returns. Today also marks the anniversary of Satoshi Nakamoto on January 3rd, and combined with the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement plan, market sentiment is indeed a bit complex.

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MissingSats

· 4h ago

$23 billion collectively maturing, it feels like another feast for the capital providers, and we retail investors can only watch the excitement. Putting $10 aside to sleep is a real trick, but I still wake up in the middle of the night to check it out haha. The most common explanation for the biggest pain point has been heard too many times; it’s just about being harvested. Satoshi Nakamoto’s birthday combined with the Federal Reserve’s repurchase agreements—this combo is a bit something. The $23 billion figure just looks uncomfortable; we can’t see through the behind-the-scenes game of capital. Not watching the market actually feels more stable; this statement hits too close to home. I’m the type who loses more the more I watch. Volatility will only increase, but no one can really predict which way it will go. It feels like tomorrow will once again feature a "surprising coincidence" plot. Retail investors are just a foil; even the smallest positions can be harvested.

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just_another_fish

· 4h ago

2.3 billion USD due? This wave is probably going to eat some noodles haha Putting $10 on a position and sleeping—this trick is brilliant, that's how I lost money Hasn't Bitcoin been a bit strange these days? Feels like it could explode at any moment I've heard this "approaching pain point" theory too many times; retail investors just can't make money Satoshi Nakamoto's birthday and the options craze—fate has a plan, brother Fund game, to put it simply, is just big players cutting our leeks Sleeping is indeed more comfortable than watching the market, less worry, less losing money This round of volatility might be bigger than expected, be careful

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 4h ago

23 billion is truly a fuse for systemic risk, with chain reactions of liquidations happening in minutes. The health factor is at a critical level at any moment; with such a high borrowing rate, be careful not to trigger a margin call. Is Satoshi Nakamoto's birthday coinciding with options expiration? This is either a buying opportunity on dips or the start of a domino effect. The liquidation price is almost touching the face; I advise everyone not to gamble on this biggest pain point. Sleeping is indeed wise, but is your position healthy? That’s the real question.

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HashBrownies

· 4h ago

23 billion options expiration is all about mindset; anyway, I don't watch the charts. Sleeping early is much better than watching K-line every day, really. It's the same old "big pain point" narrative; after all these years, it's still the same story. Bitcoin's birthday combined with options expiration—this combo is quite something. Retail investors should be as free as I am, and that's when life feels the most comfortable.

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