Recently, a major event has caused a stir in the financial circle. A prominent political figure publicly issued a warning to the Federal Reserve, demanding that the future Fed Chair must agree with his policy views; otherwise, there’s no discussion. This straightforward pressure directly triggered market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.



Let’s first look at what has happened recently. Last week, Trump publicly declared that the future Fed Chair should decisively cut interest rates when the economy performs well, and criticized the current market logic—good economic data actually triggers declines because investors worry about rate hikes. Ironically, on the same day he made this statement, the Q3 GDP annualized growth rate was released at 4.3%. As a result, the S&P 500 not only didn’t fall but hit a new all-time high, rising four days in a row. Currently, the candidates for Fed Chair have been narrowed down to 3-4, and the official nomination could be announced in the coming weeks. This battle over the boundaries of Fed power has officially entered the countdown stage.

What does this mean for our crypto market? In the short term, policy uncertainty will increase market volatility. Investors are watching the Fed’s new policy stance, and crypto assets may initially face pressure. But from a medium- to long-term perspective, as long as the Fed maintains an accommodative stance, the crypto market is likely to become an important target for institutions and retail investors seeking returns.

The underlying chain is quite clear: the Fed is the core of the global central banking system, and its monetary policy determines the flow of global funds. Over the years, we have repeatedly seen a strange phenomenon—good economic data often leads to market declines because positive data reinforces expectations of rate hikes. But from another perspective, if the Fed truly enters an easing cycle, the era of excess liquidity will make high-risk assets like crypto naturally become key allocation targets.
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BlockchainArchaeologistvip
· 3h ago
Seeing through it, once the easing cycle begins, crypto becomes a black hole for attracting money.
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RektRecoveryvip
· 3h ago
ngl, fed independence theater collapsing in real-time is exactly the kind of architectural flaw i've been screaming about for years. predictable vulnerability, classic power consolidation exploit pattern. liquidity flooding into crypto is inevitable at this point, just depends on how messy the collapse gets first.
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GweiObservervip
· 3h ago
Wait, this logic doesn't add up. GDP improves and the stock market rises? That would mean the market started pricing in the moment Trump finished speaking... So basically, right now it's a bet that the Federal Reserve will loosen, and BTC still has to wait? Short-term volatility pressure is real, but given this momentum, the expectation of easing should be solidified before the end of the year.
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CountdownToBrokevip
· 3h ago
Uh... Trump's approach is really brilliant, directly buying out the Federal Reserve Chair? Isn't this just openly saying "Either listen to me or get out"? Really, once the easing cycle begins, our side is probably going to take off again, and institutional big funds will rush in... Just thinking about it is exciting. But short-term there are still some uncertainties, after all, this policy uncertainty is right here, basically waiting for the new chair to confirm the direction. This GDP data, if placed earlier, would have been a clear signal to raise interest rates, but now it’s actually good news? The market’s logic has long since reversed. Honestly, political interference in the independence of the central bank is not a good sign for the global financial system, but we still need to make money. The day the S&P 500 hit a new high, I knew liquidity would definitely remain loose, and crypto is an inevitable capital outlet. As soon as the Fed loosens its grip, excess liquidity will be poured into high-risk assets, and the days when we profit from this might really be here. Whoever can position themselves in the right track during this cycle will be the winner.
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