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In this highly volatile market, I have seen too many people rush in with dreams of getting rich quickly, only to turn around and exit with losses due to lack of strategy. After years of practical experience, I have developed a trading framework that may seem "simple" but is extremely effective. Today, I want to break down and share this system with everyone, hoping it can help you find some direction amid confusion.
**Level One: Asset Selection, Keep the Traps Out**
Many people naturally believe that buying cryptocurrencies is just about picking the right one. Actually, the opposite is true—step one should be learning how to eliminate bad options. My strict rule is that I never touch any coin that has experienced a short-term surge. If a coin has increased over 100% within three days, I immediately blacklist it, regardless of how promising the story sounds.
In practice, I scan the top gainers over the past 11 days, which reflects capital flow. But then, the most critical step is to exclude coins that have been falling for more than three consecutive days. This is usually a signal of a pump-and-dump scheme by the big players. If you chase in at this point, you're basically helping them offload their holdings.
To put it plainly, there are so many opportunities in the crypto space that missing one isn't a big deal, but stepping into a trap can wipe out your capital instantly.
**Level Two: Trend Analysis, Monthly Charts Are the Compass**
After selecting the target assets, the next step is to look at the overall trend. My habit is very fixed—switch to the monthly chart and focus on one thing: whether the MACD has a golden cross (white line crossing above the yellow line). A golden cross on the monthly chart is not a small signal; it indicates that a medium- to long-term upward trend is basically established.
Why focus on the monthly chart? Because short-term fluctuations are ultimately just market noise. The real money is made in long-term trends. It’s like a large ship: once the engine starts and inertia kicks in, the probability of it continuing to rise is much higher than short-term wobbling.
The core principle: only trade in upward trending markets.