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The selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair has become a focal point for market attention. According to the latest data from the prediction market, there has been a noticeable adjustment in the betting probabilities on December 28 — the probability of Haskett, the Director of the National Economic Council, winning has fallen to 42%, after previously being a leading candidate.
Notably, Wosh's probability has instead risen to 31%, while Waller's support remains relatively low at 12%. This change indicates that market expectations for the new Federal Reserve Chair are dynamically adjusting.
More critical information comes from insider sources — U.S. President Trump may announce the appointment of the new Fed Chair as early as the first week of January. This suggests that uncertainty could soon dissipate, and the market will soon receive a clear answer.
For crypto traders, the choice of the Federal Reserve Chair and subsequent policy directions have always been important market variables. Different candidates may have varying attitudes toward interest rates and inflation, which could directly impact the macro environment and, in turn, influence the performance of digital assets. In other words, behind this personnel change lies a market game over the future direction of monetary policy.