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I started out just playing around, never expecting to actually find a way.
There's a trader named Eatpraylove who quietly makes big money in political prediction markets, averaging over $140,000 in earnings per month. Sounds unbelievable? But the data is right here—
His hit rate isn't even particularly high, at only 50.3%. But this guy managed to turn this "so-so" success rate into real cash, with a total profit of $258,000 so far. He ranks 333rd in the historical trader leaderboard.
This case shows one thing: making money doesn't necessarily require an extremely high win rate. Stability, risk management, and understanding market rhythm are sometimes more valuable than blindly chasing perfect accuracy. Some people put a lot of effort into raising their success rate from 50% to 60%, but still can't make money; others stay at this level and manage to earn $140,000 a month. What's the difference? Execution and mindset.