#数字资产市场动态 What will the market look like next week? My judgment mainly depends on a few key signals.

First is the Russia-Ukraine peace talks on Monday morning. The outcome of this event has a significant impact on market sentiment—if the talks go smoothly, risk assets will be boosted; if they collapse, safe-haven sentiment will rise, and funds may flow into safe assets like US Treasuries. Bitcoin's temperament is like that; when macro conditions change, its price tends to move accordingly.

Second are the meeting minutes from the central banks on both sides. The Bank of Japan will reveal the pace of interest rate hikes—everyone is guessing whether they will continue tightening next. The Federal Reserve's minutes are even more revealing, as disagreements within the committee over the timing of rate cuts next year will be fully exposed. This directly affects the USD trend and, in turn, influences liquidity expectations in the crypto market.

Don't overlook the Wednesday afternoon time window. Although the market will gradually enter the year-end off-season, this period often experiences unexpected volatility—either large sell-offs or sudden upward pushes by major players. Shallow water areas tend to have hidden currents, so caution is advised.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is repeatedly testing the 86,000-91,000 range. If the Russia-Ukraine negotiations yield positive news, resistance above could be broken. From a trading standpoint, you can do swing trades within this range, but only if you closely monitor news—messages before dawn are often the most likely to trigger market reversals.