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The battle for the next Federal Reserve Chair has recently taken a significant turn. Predictive market data shows that the previously leading White House advisor Kevin Hasset's chances of being selected have sharply declined from a high level to 42%. Meanwhile, former Fed Governor Kevin Wash's probability has rapidly risen to 31%, making the competition much more intense.
What does this shift reflect? The market is undergoing a subtle attitude adjustment. Investors and analysts seem to be re-evaluating what kind of candidate would be the best choice—a person who can maintain good communication with Wall Street while also safeguarding the independence of the central bank, which may appear more prudent and reliable.
What does this mean for the crypto market? The policy stance of the Federal Reserve Chair has always directly influenced liquidity and the performance of risk assets. A leader who emphasizes the independence of the central bank might adopt a more cautious approach to monetary policy, which is relevant for long-term holders and traders in adjusting their strategies. This market expectation reset warrants close attention to subsequent developments.