#数字资产市场动态 Bitcoin and Ethereum in this wave of the market, signs of oscillation and accumulation are becoming increasingly evident.

Looking back at the December 25 prediction, Bitcoin started a 1-hour rebound from around 86,400, and we were optimistic about a push to 90,500. But what happened? It only reached 89,600 before losing momentum, and the target was not broken through. This indicates that the 4-hour rebound has not yet fully developed.

However, there is a detail worth noting — since Bitcoin retraced from 89,600, it has never broken below the key support level of 86,000. For the bears to break through it, the difficulty is quite high. In other words, as long as 86,000 holds, Bitcoin is likely to rally upward next week, aiming for above 92,000.

The specific short-term rhythm is as follows: On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase, building a central structure. There may still be some retracement in the short term, with the 86,000-87,000 range being a key focus. If during the pullback the 86,000 support remains solid, next week could see a rebound from the 1-hour central structure, targeting the 92,000-93,000 range, completing the entire 4-hour rebound pattern.

The 15-minute decline is also critical, with a high probability of bottoming below 86,900. Whether this drop can hold above 86,000 will determine if a rebound can be triggered — as long as 86,000 is not broken, the upward trend begins.

Ethereum's rhythm is basically synchronized with Bitcoin. Next, it will also experience a 15-minute retracement, pulling back to the 2860-2900 range. As long as the support at 2860 holds, Ethereum is expected to see a 1-hour central structure breakout next week, with a target around 3200.

Looking at the overall trend: the weekly chart is clearly downward, and the downward trend at the weekly level has likely already started; the daily chart is still somewhat unclear, unable to determine whether it is an early start of a daily rebound or a continuation of the previous decline; the 4-hour chart leans upward, and as long as 86,000 does not break, the probability of a continued rebound is high; the 1-hour short-term trend is downward, but after completing the central consolidation, there is a strong chance of pushing above 90,500; the 15-minute trend is also downward, and the strength of this decline and the support testing are key factors.