2025-12-28 12:50:12

#美联储回购协议计划 Bitcoin daily chart continues to weaken, with small bullish candles appearing repeatedly; the rebound is lackluster, which is the current main tone. The market as a whole is stuck oscillating within the 94,500-84,500 range, with strong resistance at 90,000. Ethereum follows suit, also showing small bullish candles repeatedly, with clear resistance at the top of the range around 3,320, the bottom at 2,770, and the midpoint near 3,030. Both assets are now trapped in a narrow fluctuation cycle.

The four-hour chart better illustrates the issue. Bitcoin is bouncing back and forth between 89,000 and 87,000, while Ethereum is fluctuating around 3,000-2,900. If the support levels are broken—if Bitcoin falls below 84,500 or Ethereum drops below 2,770—then the bears will continue to extend their dominance. Conversely, if an upward breakout occurs, Bitcoin needs to recover above 90,000-94,000, and Ethereum must return to 3,030-3,320 to confirm a reversal.

Current strategy framework: focus on long positions at higher levels, with short positions playing a secondary role.

Trading plan:

Bitcoin: Short in the 88,500-89,000 range, with the first target at 87,500-86,500, and stop-loss set above 90,000; Ethereum: Short in the 2,970-3,000 range, targeting 2,900-2,880, with stop-loss above 9,000;

Bitcoin: Long in the 86,500-86,800 range, aiming for 88,000-89,000, and exit if it falls below 86,000; Ethereum: Long in the 2,870-2,900 range, targeting 2,980-3,030, and stop-loss if it loses 2,850.

BTC0.09%

ETH0.23%

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HodlAndChill

· 7h ago

It's the same old 90,000 trick again. When will it break through? I feel like I'm going to get stuck inside this range.

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LidoStakeAddict

· 7h ago

Reaching the 90000 level is really like a steel gate, grinding back and forth until my scalp goes numb --- It's both a box pattern and a vicious circle. When will there be a clear direction? --- When the bears are in control, betting on a breakdown makes sense. This logic is sound --- I like the idea of low buy-in as a supporting role, a steady approach --- If 86000 can't be broken, don't expect a reversal --- If Ethereum drops below 2770, I'll cut my losses immediately. I don't want to watch this dull game anymore --- Why is the Fed's repurchase operation still so weak? There should be some movement logically --- The short position at 88500 feels useless, it seems unlikely to break down --- The logic of being optimistic about low buy-in is good, but execution always hits snags --- Why chase after the obvious 3030 resistance? It’s a bit frustrating

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TeaTimeTrader

· 7h ago

This market is really frustrating. 90,000 feels like a solid wall, and it's really annoying when it can't be broken through. I've already said that grinding inside the range just wastes time; it's better to wait for a breakout. Your short strategy looks good. I'm also holding at 88,500, just waiting for it to give. Retail traders should follow the framework; don't overthink it. Keep it simple. Just follow the trading plan. Setting stop-losses properly can reduce half the worries. Ethereum has also been boring lately, bouncing around between 2900, making it dull and frustrating. Long positions really are just for show; shorting is the main game. This logic is sound.

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