I saw an interesting trading case in the prediction market. A trader turned $15,000 into $147,000 over a few days, making a huge profit. Their core strategy is simple—bet heavily that a major DEX project will not launch an airdrop this year.

This idea is not unfounded. Careful observation of the project team’s recent actions can reveal clues. In early January, the team proposed a conference call to top token holders, which is somewhat unusual—usually, projects only do this when preparing for a major event. Communication and coordination before an airdrop often send similar signals.

From a trading perspective, the 7-cent negative odds are indeed worth noting. The current market pricing may underestimate the team’s potential adjustments to the airdrop plan, which presents an opportunity for savvy traders.