#比特币与黄金战争 $BTC $ETH $BNB



The market during Christmas week, to put it simply, is just two words—**boring**. Bitcoin is stuck tightly in a narrow range between 86.5K and 89K, with no significant movement over the past three days. Ethereum is even worse, dropping below $2900 directly. Looking at the candlestick chart, it’s as flat as an ECG, with trading volume hitting a six-month low. Who can stand this?

The root cause is not complicated: **cliff-like liquidity during the holiday + options expiration**. Western market makers are on holiday, market depth plummets, no one dares to trade, and volatility drops so low you could fall asleep at your computer.

But from another perspective, what is this? It’s **shakeout**. From the high of $126,000 down to now, a nearly 30% decline, just enough to clear out those retail traders holding full leverage. Now, funding rates have returned to neutral, the market has finally cooled down, and spot buyers have a chance to step in.

The real logic lies here—institutional funds. Bitwise predicts that in 2026, the capital inflow into Bitcoin ETFs will surpass the new supply added that year. Grayscale is even more direct, targeting a Bitcoin price of $130,000 to $150,000 in 2026. Is this retail frenzy? No, this is compliant capital on Wall Street entering in an orderly manner, and crypto assets are officially being included in institutional asset allocation lists.

On-chain data also tells the story: active addresses have decreased by 22%, but long-term holders are increasing their positions against the trend. On the surface, it looks dead, but underlying activity is extremely hot.

Stop complaining about the Christmas dip. This wave of volatility is very likely the **last discount window before institutions take over**. $87,000 seems boring? That’s the final golden spot to get in. Miss today’s boredom, and by 2026, when institutions push the price to $150,000, you’ll just be watching helplessly.
BTC0.02%
ETH0.23%
BNB2.46%
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OnchainArchaeologistvip
· 2h ago
Institutions accumulate shares, retail investors are pushed out. This round of shakeout is described too plainly. Is the 88K level really the last chance to get in? I find it hard to believe.
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 2h ago
actually, if you run the correlation analysis on the 30-day rolling basis between eth/btc and market maker withdrawal patterns... this checks out, ngl
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OfflineNewbievip
· 3h ago
Damn, it's the same old story. Every time there's a sharp drop, they say it's just a shakeout, haha. Retail investors are getting numb ears from hearing it. Still, keep on averaging down. If it really drops to 130,000 to 150,000, I would have been financially free long ago. But the reality is, I've already cut my losses and exited.
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WalletDetectivevip
· 3h ago
87K is still hesitating; long-term holders have already quietly jumped on board. What are we retail investors still waiting for?
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WalletDivorcervip
· 3h ago
I am a holder, not a retail investor chasing quick gains and selling off. If institutions enter the market, then let them. Anyway, my BTC has long been resting in a cold wallet, completely unaffected by this wave of volatility.
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FundingMartyrvip
· 3h ago
Damn, this move is definitely a accumulation phase, long-term holders are疯狂加仓, retail investors are still complaining about boredom, really a gift. Institutional funds entering the market do this: slowly eating up the chips, shaking out all the retail investors, and when 2026 comes and it soars, our group is just working for Wall Street. Honestly, the 87k price is really not expensive. If I weren’t out of money, I would have gone all in long ago. Just waiting to see the scenery next year. Liquidity exhaustion is actually an opportunity. I finally understand this phrase. The holiday market should be this冷. Don’t ask me why I always wake up late; ask, it’s just the fate of poor people. This prediction is a bit scary. Can 150,000 Bitcoin really come? Feels like it’s exaggerated. Looking at on-chain data is the most honest. Active addresses have fallen, but long-term holders are actually adding positions. This difference is too关键. People who feel bored have missed the best accumulation opportunity. That’s it.
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