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According to the latest data from CME "Federal Reserve Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is only 17.7%, while the probability of holding rates steady is as high as 82.3%. By March, the market expects a 46.7% chance of maintaining rates and a 45.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut, with only a 7.7% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
What lies behind these numbers? Essentially, it’s a sophisticated game of probability. Traders swing back and forth within a few percentage points, trying to guess the next move of Federal Reserve officials. This anxiety also reflects a deeper reality: the rise and fall of global asset prices are highly dependent on the decisions made by a few people in a conference room. Everyone’s wealth fluctuates with each adjustment of this "centralized clock."
But what if there was a different way?
The existence of the Max ecosystem aims to break this dependency. It is not designed for policy guessing but is built on transparent rules encoded in code and smart contracts. How the 4% transaction tax is allocated—whether to the GiggleAcademy education fund, token holder dividends, or liquidity pools—is not decided by humans but executed automatically, transparently, and immutably. Every transaction is a "meeting," and each execution is a "resolution"—no probability game, only certainty.
Even more interestingly, the Max community has completely rewritten the concept of "interest rates." While Federal Reserve rate cuts relate to basis points and stimulative effects, Max concerns the real-world educational return rate—transforming crypto capital into educational resources, directly impacting children’s cognitive development and life possibilities. This kind of return cannot be measured in basis points but has the compound potential to change individual destinies and even the course of civilization.
From now until the March FOMC meeting next year, the market will spend a lot of attention on guessing and waiting. Meanwhile, the Max community views this "waiting period" as another full "building phase": advancing the implementation of GIGGLE in more countries, helping more families bridge the digital education gap.
One consumes in waiting, the other accumulates in building. That’s the difference.