Regarding the trend analysis of ZEC, I have my own approach.



First, to clarify my stance—I won't try to catch the top to short. Operations like entering short positions at 600 or adding more at 700 are not part of my trading plan. Playing the game of bottom-fishing or top-tapping with small funds offers limited profit potential but carries significant risk. If ZEC truly breaks through the 1000 level, it’s neither a profit opportunity nor a loss point for me, because I simply won't participate.

My core expectation for ZEC is as follows: over the next two months or so, the price will fluctuate within this range, repeatedly testing the top. When the daily MA120 moving average moves down to around $450, that will be the point I truly pay attention to. Once the price breaks below this moving average and two or three MACD divergence signals appear, then setting stop-loss near the daily midline and taking a short position becomes a clearer opportunity.

Of course, this is just an expectation based on the current market conditions. If the trend doesn't conform to this framework, I won't act. There's no need to trade just for the sake of trading.

From another perspective, the ultimate goal of shorting is to accumulate cheaper chips to go long later. The cyclical nature of crypto assets—bulls and bears—is inevitable—unlike traditional stock markets that tend to trend upward unilaterally, the cyclical characteristics of the crypto space ensure there will always be opportunities to short. The key is to recognize this, rather than obsess over a specific price level.
ZEC2.45%
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AirdropBlackHolevip
· 4h ago
This logic makes sense, just a bit of waiting. Are you only considering it if the 450 line can't hold? I see many people are already betting on 1000 now. People who don't touch the top do live longer, but during these two months of volatility, should we consider setting up a small position to try? Waiting for the signal is correct, but MACD can sometimes react faster than you do.
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NestedFoxvip
· 4h ago
This guy has a pretty clear idea. I like the feeling of not being greedy or impatient.
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NoStopLossNutvip
· 4h ago
This guy's thinking is quite clear-headed; not blindly chasing the top indeed makes things easier. I need to keep an eye on the 450 level, and wait for the MACD divergence combo to act. Shorting is just to buy the dip cheaply, I agree with this logic. People who don't chase quick money actually earn the most steadily. Wait for signals; if there are no signals, just relax. That's the art of living.
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DAOdreamervip
· 4h ago
This guy's patience is really something; I would be impressed if it hits the 450 level. I'm still debating whether to buy the dip, but he's already planned the next move.
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