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Regarding the trend analysis of ZEC, I have my own approach.
First, to clarify my stance—I won't try to catch the top to short. Operations like entering short positions at 600 or adding more at 700 are not part of my trading plan. Playing the game of bottom-fishing or top-tapping with small funds offers limited profit potential but carries significant risk. If ZEC truly breaks through the 1000 level, it’s neither a profit opportunity nor a loss point for me, because I simply won't participate.
My core expectation for ZEC is as follows: over the next two months or so, the price will fluctuate within this range, repeatedly testing the top. When the daily MA120 moving average moves down to around $450, that will be the point I truly pay attention to. Once the price breaks below this moving average and two or three MACD divergence signals appear, then setting stop-loss near the daily midline and taking a short position becomes a clearer opportunity.
Of course, this is just an expectation based on the current market conditions. If the trend doesn't conform to this framework, I won't act. There's no need to trade just for the sake of trading.
From another perspective, the ultimate goal of shorting is to accumulate cheaper chips to go long later. The cyclical nature of crypto assets—bulls and bears—is inevitable—unlike traditional stock markets that tend to trend upward unilaterally, the cyclical characteristics of the crypto space ensure there will always be opportunities to short. The key is to recognize this, rather than obsess over a specific price level.