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The core risk points of Sunday’s market mainly focus on two aspects.
From trading data, the overall trading volume has shrunk significantly—down 33.18%, with Bitcoin experiencing an even steeper decline, with a 48% decrease in trading volume week-on-week. This indicates that from early Sunday morning until the US stock market opens on Monday, market volatility could be quite intense. The good news is that once the US stock market opens, liquidity is expected to recover.
More noteworthy is the movement of funds. Over the weekend, there was a synchronized net outflow—total funds outflow of 2 billion USD, with current liquidity totaling 312.7 billion USD. Among stablecoins, USDT saw a net outflow of 100 million, and USDC a net outflow of 91 million. Interestingly, both the Asian and US markets experienced rare simultaneous fund outflows over the weekend, which could significantly impact market sentiment.
Looking ahead to next week, the upcoming holidays are likely to further suppress market activity. Two key points to monitor are: first, whether liquidity can stop falling; if it continues to decline, market volatility could become very dangerous; second, whether the outflow of funds persists. If the net outflow in both Asia and the US continues, market sentiment may have further downside potential.