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Want to understand why Bitcoin skyrocketed? The key is looking at the global money supply.
Simply put, the two core driving factors of Bitcoin are M2 money supply and the benchmark interest rate. When these two indicators rise, Bitcoin tends to surge as well. Conversely, Bitcoin acts like a weather vane for global liquidity—more money means it takes off; less money means it shrinks.
Historical data confirms this logic. Each major Bitcoin rally almost coincides with the timing of global M2 expansion. The "money printing and rate cuts" cycles are exactly when Bitcoin takes flight.
The most typical example is the 2020 bull market. Many attribute the surge to Bitcoin halving, but halving was just the spark. What truly triggered the explosion? It was the Federal Reserve's unprecedented "large-scale liquidity injection" to counteract the pandemic shock. At that time, the Fed lowered the benchmark interest rate to near zero and started printing money, causing M2 supply to surge. It was within this flood of liquidity that Bitcoin jumped from a few thousand dollars to over twenty thousand.