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The Bank of Japan officially announced today the start of an interest rate hike cycle, personally ending the longest zero-interest-rate era in the world that lasted for 37 years. This decision by Governor Kazuo Ueda marks a significant turning point in the global financial landscape.
Notably, the Bank of Japan has adopted seemingly contradictory dual measures: tightening liquidity by raising interest rates while releasing a massive 122 trillion yen in funds. This seemingly hedging operation has caused short-term confusion among market participants—whether it is tightening or easing?
This policy shift has already triggered a chain reaction in global markets. The yen has rapidly appreciated against the US dollar, forcing many arbitrage traders to face margin calls. The long-standing reputation of the yen as the world's cheapest funding source for arbitrage trading has come to an end, and international capital is beginning to make large-scale asset allocation adjustments. The narrowing of the US-Japan interest rate differential has further intensified pressure on the Asian currency system.
For the cryptocurrency market, this policy shift is particularly significant. As an important source of arbitrage financing, the liquidity changes of the yen have historically had a profound impact on market volatility. Mainstream assets like BTC and ETH are about to face even more intense price fluctuations. This is not just a technical adjustment but a fundamental change in the rules of global liquidity supply. The era of "costless arbitrage" is now a thing of the past.