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#预测市场 Prediction markets are truly one of the most magical applications in Web3! Looking at the showdown for "The Most Powerful AI in 2025" on Kalshi, from ChatGPT's 41% at the beginning of the year to Gemini soaring to 86% now, the $14.08 million trading volume demonstrates how the market votes with real money.
This is the beauty of decentralized prediction markets — they are not a unilateral declaration by an authority, but the result of thousands of participants engaging in a game based on information, judgment, and incentives. Every trade represents a prediction about the future and a pricing of risk. This transparent and verifiable approach reflects true expectations better than traditional polls or expert opinions.
On a deeper level, prediction markets are actually a microcosm of decentralized governance — using economic incentives to enable dispersed individuals to make rational decisions, aggregating into collective wisdom. Whether in technology, politics, or climate forecasting, this mechanism can demonstrate its power.
In the future, as prediction markets further integrate with DAOs and DeFi, we may see decision-making systems driven entirely by community consensus. Imagine a project's development direction or resource allocation guided by data from prediction markets — this is the moment Web3 truly changes the way decisions are made!