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Most people are still paying attention to price trends, but savvy traders have long shifted their focus to another dimension—the fundamental indicator of mining difficulty.
The latest data shows that Bitcoin mining difficulty has risen to 148.2T in the last adjustment of 2025, and institutions predict it will further increase to 149T by January 8, 2026. What does this number really signify?
Simply put: mining has become more difficult.
With the same computational power and hardware configuration, the amount of coins produced now is actually less. This is not just emotional fluctuation; it’s the underlying logic of the industry. As mining difficulty continues to rise, the output per unit inevitably decreases, and the production cost per BTC increases accordingly. The numbers are harsh, but the logic is clear.
Miners will not engage in unprofitable trades. As production costs are continually pushed higher, the quantity of low-cost chips in their hands will become increasingly scarce. What does this mean? The market has no choice but to accept higher price levels.
Interestingly, prices can fluctuate within a certain range repeatedly, but Bitcoin’s real production cost is quietly rising. This also explains why, in the absence of explosive market movements, institutional investors appear calm and composed. They understand—scarcity always favors time. When difficulty hits new highs, those betting on low prices are the ones truly under pressure.