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New developments have emerged in the prediction market as of December 28. The probability of Haskett, the Director of the U.S. National Economic Council, becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has dropped from previous levels to 42%, a significant decline. Meanwhile, Wosh's chances of being elected have risen to 31%, gradually becoming the second most popular candidate in the market. Waller's support remains relatively low at 12%.
This change reflects the market's latest expectations regarding the Federal Reserve Chair appointment. According to informed sources, U.S. President Trump may announce the nomination for the new Fed Chair as early as the first week of January next year. Once this information was disclosed, it immediately caused sharp fluctuations in the prediction market, with odds for various candidates adjusting accordingly.
The change of the Federal Reserve Chair often has a profound impact on financial markets. The new Chair's monetary policy stance, attitude towards interest rates, and approach to digital asset regulation could all be key factors influencing market sentiment in the short term. Investors are closely monitoring the latest developments regarding this personnel appointment.