The key period for the digital asset market has arrived this week, with three major events sequentially impacting price momentum.

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve minutes could be a turning point. If hawkish voices dominate, BTC may face a test of the $65,000 support; conversely, if dovish signals are strong, the rebound could directly target around $69,200. By Wednesday, employment data will become the next trigger—if initial jobless claims fall below 220,000, it will raise expectations for rate hikes, bringing market pressure; if the data is around 230,000, expectations for rate cuts will be ignited, which is usually positive for crypto assets.

The most critical factor is the liquidity drop caused by the US stock market closure on Thursday, when altcoins are especially prone to flash crashes. Caution is advised during Asian trading hours, and large trades are best to hold off first.

From a technical perspective, the dividing line for BTC longs and shorts is at $67,800. Breaking through this level would signal a strong trend; $65,000 is the bottom line—once lost, the risk significantly increases. Also, pay attention to ETH/BTC at the 0.054 level, as it reflects market sentiment.

In practical trading, keeping positions within 50% and leverage no more than 3x are basic rules. When dovish signals appear, consider buying ETH on dips or adjusting your coin ratios; if hawkish signals dominate, it’s better to switch to stablecoins and allocate volatility hedging tools. Avoid trading during the Asian session on Thursday.

Ultimately, keep half of your cash in hand, wait for the trend to be confirmed before going all in. No matter how turbulent the market, staying calm is the strongest weapon.