Strategies for ordinary investors: which positions offer "cost-effectiveness"?

Let me start with a possibly unpalatable statement:
ETH is not in a "casual buy and hold for the bull market" phase right now.
It is in a very typical structure of—
"Institutions slowly accumulating chips, but not yet at the breakout window."
From the four dimensions above, we can infer several key conclusions:

① $2700: the only consensus "structural support level"
This is currently the only price range that meets all three conditions:

✔ Real funds are building positions on-chain

✔ Highest chip density (structural anchor point)

✔ Whales show clear absorption behavior in this range

So the conclusion is simple:

$2700 is a "try-error" position, but not a "mindless heavy position."

This is more like a defensive position rather than an offensive one.
As long as the price stays above $2700 , ETH remains in an unbroken structural state;
But once it effectively breaks below, things will immediately change.

② Once below $2700, there is a "vacuum zone"
This is the most dangerous and also most overlooked issue for ETH.
From the chip structure perspective:

$396 → $2700: almost no effective accumulation formed

No "double anchor structure"

Once the price drops, it’s easy to "slide" rather than "move."

In other words:

After breaking $2700 , it’s not "a little drop," but "anything goes."

Probabilistically, the most likely levels of temporary support are:

$1800 –$2600 (psychological level + historical trading dense zone)

In extreme emotions, testing near $2000 is not ruled out.

So here’s a very practical advice for ordinary investors:

The true "cost-effective zone" is actually after panic has set in, not now.

③ Whale attitude determines the rhythm but does not cater to retail sentiment
From the behavior of whales holding >100,000 ETH:

They have not abandoned ETH

But they are not rushing to push prices up either

They seem to be waiting for a "cleaner chip structure"

What does this imply?
👉 rises will definitely happen, but not necessarily now.
👉 shakeouts won’t trigger easily unless thoroughly completed.
ETH is following a path very similar to BTC:

Retail expansion → Dispersed clearing → Chip recovery → Concentration of pricing power

But right now, it’s stuck in the most difficult phase.

Final conclusion (key points):

Long-term outlook: not pessimistic

Mid-term structure: cautious

Short-term operation: only do things with anchor points

If you ask me for a straightforward summary:
$2700 is a defensive line, not a faith line;
A truly comfortable position might require waiting for a "market surrender."

ETH is not unworthy of expectation,
But it’s not yet at the stage of "rewarding patience."
The only thing to watch next is:
Whether chips continue to concentrate among a few, and whether the price can hold the consensus anchor.