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What are you most eager to hold onto as the year ends? Positions, hair, girlfriend, or weight?
This question is fun, but when it comes to real money HODL, things get complicated.
Bitcoin peaked at $126K in October and has since retraced 30%, now hovering around the 9x level. There was supposed to be a Santa Rally, but what happened? Trading volume is thin, and there are no big waves. Market search interest has fallen to its lowest point of the year, with a heat index of 26 indicating that retail investors are really not that concerned anymore. Fewer people are asking about coin prices in social circles.
This year has dealt quite a blow to retail confidence—April’s tariff turmoil, the $20B liquidation in October, and wave after wave of memecoin floor crashes. These events have drained a lot of enthusiasm. Bitcoin’s upward momentum is weak, but funds are not idle.
Looking at the precious metals market makes it clear. Gold broke through $4500+ to a new high, with a yearly increase of 70%. Silver surged even more, breaking through $70, with an annual gain between 140-160%. The story of "digital gold" suddenly doesn’t sound appealing anymore, as investors’ FOMO has shifted entirely into traditional safe-haven assets. The story of asset rotation is very clear—when the crypto market lacks growth signals and risk appetite declines, funds naturally move toward more stable assets.