The next three days, the crypto market will undergo a macro policy cleansing.

FOMC minutes, non-farm payroll data, and US stock liquidity tightening—these three events act like three fuse triggers, any one of which could ignite the market. The Tuesday FOMC minutes will reveal the true stance of the decision-makers. If hawkish signals dominate, Bitcoin needs to hold the $65,000 support; otherwise, the test will be severe; conversely, if dovish voices grow louder, a rebound could push toward $69,200.

Wednesday’s initial jobless claims data is equally critical. Fewer than 220,000 unemployed will strengthen expectations of rate hikes, putting the market under pressure; 230,000 will ignite hopes for rate cuts, benefiting crypto assets. This set of data often reverses market sentiment.

Thursday’s US stock market holiday creates a liquidity vacuum, making it the most prone period for extreme price movements. Altcoins are especially vulnerable to flash crashes, so caution is advised during Asian trading hours. Large trades are best delayed until liquidity recovers.

Bitcoin’s bullish and bearish boundary is at $67,800. Holding above indicates strength; breaking below signals risk. The ETH/BTC exchange rate of 0.054 is a sentiment barometer worth watching.

The survival rule is simple: keep positions below 50%, with leverage no more than 3x. When dovish signals appear, consider buying Ethereum at low prices; when hawkish signals are clear, switch to stablecoins and use volatility hedging tools to protect positions. It’s best to observe during the Asian trading hours on Thursday morning.

In this wave of volatility, holding half of your cash is more important than anything else. Wait for the trend to be confirmed before going all in. The market is always there; missing one wave means the next wave will come.