Spending too much time reading posts from opinion leaders in the square will reveal a pattern—whenever the market slightly rises, someone immediately shouts that a bull market is coming. Such judgments are really overly simplistic and crude.



Looking at it from another angle, there is no such thing as a sacred division between bull and bear markets. Basically, it’s a comparison of the size of the bullish and bearish funds, and who is leveraging more. The side with the heavier positions and higher leverage is more likely to be broken through in the opposite direction. This process of capital reshuffling is ultimately labeled by people as a "bull market" or "bear market."

Human nature determines all of this. Greed drives us to chase gains, and herd mentality makes us follow the crowd. In the high-risk, high-profit crypto market, the only way to survive or even make money is to go against our instincts—counter-human behavior operations.

My strategy is very straightforward: I look at which side has the most bets and the thickest capital accumulation, and I do the opposite. The market maker is never a philanthropist and will not lead retail investors to the road of wealth together. The fluctuations of mainstream coins like ETH and BNB follow the same logic. Once you understand this, you truly get started.
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SchrodingerGasvip
· 4h ago
This theory sounds great, but on-chain data often proves otherwise... Reverse operations can easily lead to repeated losses.
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GrayscaleArbitrageurvip
· 4h ago
That's right, chasing gains and selling losses is the mentality of retail investors. Counter-trend trading sounds easy but is hard to execute and easy to get trapped. When more people are bullish, do they then go short? That logic doesn't seem to guarantee wins. Being so absolute about it, if it were that simple, we'd be financially free long ago. I agree that liquidity is the essence, but this goes against human nature, which traps most people. Reminded me, a big influencer said the same thing last time, but ended up getting caught, haha. This set of market psychology theories has been around for three years, and I still keep falling into the trap. Every sentence hits the point, but the reality is that I just can't execute.
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MetaMaximalistvip
· 4h ago
nah, this "reverse the crowd" thing is just contrarian theater if you ask me. most people who claim to do this are actually following the same herd, just with extra steps. the real network effect plays out way differently than folk psychology suggests.
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OnchainDetectivevip
· 4h ago
After tracking on-chain data, your theory indeed holds water. Fund flow never lies; the moment the long-short ratio becomes unbalanced, the outcome is already determined.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 4h ago
Another "I can win by doing the opposite" veteran, I've heard this theory a hundred times, and in the end, the ones who lose the most are still this group of people. The idea of going against human nature sounds impressive, but the reality is that most people simply can't do it, including the speaker themselves. I remember a guy who also boasted to me about this before, but he ended up bottoming out and is still stuck there. This article is just a survivor bias; only those who make money dare to boast like this. The market maker is indeed powerful, but it's too easy to blame all your losses on "greed and herd mentality."
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Web3Educatorvip
· 4h ago
nah this "contrarian positioning" theory sounds nice in theory but let me break this down for my students—most people lose money trying to fade the crowd bc timing is literally impossible lmao
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FreeRidervip
· 5h ago
That's right, but most people simply can't resist going against human nature. They get itchy when prices go up, panic when they go down, and in the end, they blame the market makers for not giving them a way out.
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