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Everyone says: “If I put $100 into $BTC in 2010 I’d have $2.8B today.”
No you wouldn’t.
Because here’s what “diamond-handing $100 → $2.8B” actually looks like:
You buy $100 of BTC in 2010.
It runs to $1k → $100k → $1.7M
…and you do nothing.
Then it nukes to $170k
…and you still do nothing.
Then it rips to $110M
…and you still do nothing.
Then it bleeds to $18M
…and you still do nothing.
Then it surges to $390M
…and you still do nothing.
Then it grinds down to $85M
…and you still do nothing.
Then it sends to $1.6B
…and you still do nothing.
Then it collapses to $390M
…and you still do nothing.
Then it finally runs to $2.8B
…and only then you “decide to sell.”
That’s the fantasy people quote like it’s normal behavior.
The truth:
Almost nobody survives that much volatility without tapping out.
Conviction sounds easy. Living through drawdowns isn’t.
So when people say “you’d have $2.8B,” what they really mean is:
“If you were a robot with zero emotion, perfect patience, and infinite time horizon…”
You’re not.
Neither am I.
What matters isn’t catching every cycle, it’s staying solvent long enough to catch some of it.
Would you honestly have held through those swings?