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#预测市场 The hype around new projects during the big project week is indeed worth paying attention to, but rational discernment is necessary. Here's a simple overview of the core logic behind this wave of opportunities:
**Fund Flow Perspective**: Upheaval's oversubscription of 870%, YB backed by Curve ecosystem, Limitless trading volume of $270 million—these data points reflect that the market is indeed focusing on prediction markets and new ecosystems. However, it's important to note that pre-sale enthusiasm does not equal post-launch performance. Tea has already sparked community doubts due to airdrop controversy, which is a risk signal.
**Project Fundamentals Comparison**:
- Yield Basis is supported by Egorov's influence, and Curve DAO credit support provides a solid background.
- Upheaval's "Bonding Curve" pricing mechanism is relatively transparent, but whether trading volume growth can be sustained is key.
- Goated already has stable cash flow ($2 million net profit), which is relatively solid.
**Participation Suggestions**: Focus on a few specific indicators—
1. TGE unlock ratio and team lock-up period
2. Initial liquidity depth (directly affects launch volatility)
3. Community quality rather than participation numbers (multiple accounts spamming does not equal genuine demand)
Tea's 100% immediate unlock combined with community dissatisfaction presents obvious high-risk of early sell-off. The fundamentals of Goated and YB are relatively credible, but specific pre-sale pricing details are still lacking. Wait until these details are publicly available before making a decision; there's no need to rush with the trend.