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Starting in 2025, silver's performance has directly outpaced the entire crypto market by several lengths. Since the beginning of the year, it has risen by 173.89%, and within a week, it can surge by 10% in a single day. Its market capitalization has increased by $400 billion in just a few days. Currently, silver's total market cap has surpassed $4.4 trillion, successfully ranking among the top four global assets.
What does this mean? A single day's increase in silver is equivalent to ETH's current total market cap of around $350-360 billion, roughly one-quarter of BTC's total market cap ($1.75 trillion). This extreme market condition has indeed reshaped many people's perceptions of the market.
The driving forces behind this are not hard to understand: the risk-averse demand under geopolitical tensions and the industrial demand for silver in the new energy sector are resonating, which is the main reason for the surge. Interestingly, from a technical perspective, BTC's current price trend and the pattern before silver's breakout are almost identical—a long-term period of oscillation and accumulation of volume.
This wave of over 170% increase in silver has provided many analysts with a reference value. The general market consensus is that if BTC replicates this breakout rhythm, it could reach $400,000 per coin by the end of 2026.
However, whether this target can be achieved depends on two hard conditions: first, BTC must effectively break through the critical resistance level of $100,000; second, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy must truly shift to easing, so liquidity can follow. Currently, BTC hovers around $89,000, still a considerable distance from the $400,000 target. This surge in silver has given the crypto community a new asset allocation reference and also serves as a reminder to the market to stay attentive to subsequent developments.