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#数字资产市场动态 Sounds like a joke, but I swear—every single trade record is made with real gold and silver. Countless late nights at 2 or 3 a.m. staring at the charts, repeatedly reviewing my entries and exits, slowly honing these skills.
Today, I’ll share the pitfalls I’ve stepped into over the years and six trading observations I’ve summarized. If you can truly master even one of these, you’ll at least avoid several classic traps.
**Observation 1: Sharp rise but gentle pullback, usually during accumulation**
That pattern of a rapid surge followed by a slight retracement—don’t rush to sell. The main force is using this move to scare retail investors and quietly collect chips at low prices. A true top market looks completely different—massive volume spike, then a quick dump, catching people off guard and trapping them.
**Observation 2: Huge decline but weak rebound, don’t rush to bottom fish**
A fierce drop with a soft rebound often signals that big funds are quietly exiting. When you see a big plunge, you get excited thinking “this must be the bottom,” but in reality, you’re just slowly sinking in. The slow crawl upward, like a mosquito biting, is often a trap to lure more buyers. Your principal is being gradually drained this way.
**Observation 3: High volume at a top doesn’t necessarily mean a peak; low volume at a high is more dangerous**
Seeing trading activity at a high level indicates funds are still betting and there’s room for volatility. The real warning sign is a sudden cliff-like drop in volume—this often suggests the main players have temporarily exited, and the market may weaken afterward. When volume dries up, a correction is usually near.
**Observation 4: Sudden volume spike at the bottom, wait for persistence before deciding**
A single day of high volume ≠ a breakout the next day. Many times, it’s just a one-day trap. The key is whether it can sustain: if after some consolidation, volume continues to gently increase for several days, that’s a real sign of accumulation. Don’t be fooled by sudden abnormal moves.
**Observation 5: Trading volume is the market’s thermometer, more honest than candlesticks**
Candlestick charts are just the final presentation; volume is the real driving force behind the scenes. When no one is trading, volume is cold and silent; when funds are flowing in and out actively, volume feels hot. Watching volume behavior often allows you to sense market sentiment shifts before others.
**Observation 6: Trader’s mindset management is often more important than technical analysis**
This market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking are traders who can stay calm and have sharp enough eyes. Reacting emotionally to every wind and small rise—thinking you must fly at the slightest upward move—is the easiest way to lose in crypto markets. Discipline and observation are the two ultimate skills for long-term survival.