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The main upward wave of the computing power market is still fermenting. As we enter January, two clear main themes have emerged in the market—strong leadership from computing power and non-ferrous metals, with sectors like robotics, semiconductors, and commercial aerospace interwoven. This is the basic framework of the recent market trend.
This month, computing power is in the main upward wave stage, and this rhythm is expected to continue into next month. Non-ferrous metals only started their main upward wave last Friday, and given the current momentum, next month will also see a main upward wave trend. These two sectors are currently the most core main lines.
Although the robotics sector has some opportunities for local main upward waves in January, these are mainly concentrated in specific chain directions, with some varieties showing explosive growth. According to the usual rhythm, a 50-120% increase over two to three weeks to five weeks is expected, and reaching this goal is not difficult.
The semiconductor sector also has highlights. The opportunities in January mainly focus on semiconductor equipment and materials, with these subfields gradually producing varieties in a main upward wave.
However, the commercial aerospace sector is more complex. A wave of limit-downs is expected, and after the decline, it will enter a typical high-level trap-and-distribution phase—January is currently in this stage. Once any sector enters a high-level trap-and-distribution phase, market difficulty will significantly increase. Although some varieties will continue to hit new highs and run in the main upward wave, most varieties will gradually enter a topping phase.
The most vulnerable groups during this stage are three types of people: slow-reacting investors who are not decisive enough in trading; hesitant investors who are unsure when buying and conflicted when selling; and players lacking a sense of trading rhythm. They are most likely to get caught in trap-and-distribution, becoming high-level bagholders.