2025-12-29 12:27:31

Many newcomers focus on just one question: Can I make a profit on this trade?

But the reality is, there are no absolutely guaranteed winning trades in the market. Even the most logical strategies only improve the probability in your favor; they don't guarantee the market will move according to your script. If you can't understand this, your mindset is likely to break down.

The difference between beginners and veterans lies in their way of thinking—completely opposite.

Beginners gamble on the outcome of a single trade—if they lose, it means their judgment is flawed. Veterans think long-term—if this method is used consistently, is it overall beneficial to me? One plays a probability game, the other runs a probability business.

Those who truly succeed keep their operations simple. They don't obsess over every trade being perfect; they reuse strategies with some advantage, and they don't get caught up in one or two losses—only focusing on whether the overall progress is as expected. The core belief is: survive first.

Keep your position size small, set stop-losses quickly, and ensure you always have the next opportunity.

Trading may seem difficult due to technical indicators, but actually, the harder parts are:

**Can you accept losses as normal?** Not as an accident, but as part of trading itself.

**Can you follow the rules even when you're unsure?** Most people can't.

**Can you stay calm after a series of losses and not rush to prove yourself?** This is the greatest test.

Ultimately, trading is not about IQ but about stability and psychological resilience. When you view each operation through a probabilistic lens, the outcome of a single trade becomes less important.

Your problem isn't that you're not moving fast enough, but that you're blindly groping in the dark. The light is always on, right ahead. As long as you keep pace, you can break out of this cycle.

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ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 2h ago

The core is mindset, not technology. I strongly agree with this point. --- You said it right. Most people are just eager to prove themselves, but end up losing more and more. --- First, just stay alive. I have to stick this phrase on the wall repeatedly. --- The real problem isn't the indicators; it's whether you can accept the fact of losing money. --- It looks simple, but doing it can be deadly. I've tried. --- Light position, quick stop-loss—easy to say, but actually taking action is another matter. --- The difference between a probabilistic business and a probabilistic game is indeed worlds apart. --- Still not willing to prove yourself after consecutive losses? That's basically impossible unless you've become numb. --- The light is on ahead, but people in the dark really can't see. That metaphor is perfect. --- I'm that person playing the probabilistic game. I always want to make each trade perfect, but now I'm losing badly.

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DegenWhisperer

· 3h ago

That's right, it's a mindset issue. Most beginners really overestimate themselves. --- The core is to stay alive. No matter how much you earn, don't die first. --- That hits hard. After a series of losses, the "I need to make a comeback" mentality is the most deadly. --- Brother, I've heard this theory before, but out of ten people who try, not a single one can actually do it. --- Light positions, quick stop-losses. It sounds simple, but executing it is extremely difficult. --- After trading for so long, I finally realize that trading is actually a battle with oneself. --- That last sentence was brilliant. Indeed, many people are recklessly rushing in the dark. --- I still can't accept treating losses as normal; every loss feels like a slap.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 3h ago

This is the truth: most people die because of the obsession with "this bet must be won."

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faded_wojak.eth

· 3h ago

Just stay alive—this really hit home. So many people die trying to turn things around.

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ConfusedWhale

· 3h ago

You're right, this is the area where I've suffered the most losses. Always thinking about making a big profit in a single trade, but my mindset has long since been shattered. --- Surviving first is really the key. That's how I operate now—using small positions repeatedly, treating losses as tuition fees. --- Whether I can lose several times in a row without rushing to prove myself, this question hit me... It's always like this when I mess up. --- Probability business vs. probability game, I feel like I'm still betting on single trades; I need to change my mindset. --- The most heartbreaking thing is "blindly stumbling in the dark," which is my current situation haha. I need to find the rules and stick to them. --- Cut losses quickly and lighten positions—simple and brutal but truly effective. The hardest part is execution. --- I agree with the statement "not obsessed with perfection." Use your advantages, don't always try to earn that last dollar. --- Trading is about psychological resilience, not intelligence. This reminds me of several smart accounts I know. --- Many people can't accept that losses are normal. As soon as they lose, they say they analyzed incorrectly, but they never consider that this is normal. --- If you're not confident, you still need to follow the rules. It sounds simple, but actually doing it is deadly—human instincts are all about gambling.

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