My investment experience over the past few years has revealed a pattern — the first half of each year is basically about trial and error or taking losses. The years 23, 24, and 25 have all followed this rhythm. The second half of the year is when the real profit explosion occurs, so instead of worrying about whether the market will perform well at the beginning of the year or how it will fluctuate in January or the first quarter, it's better to focus more on adjusting your holding strategies and medium-term layout.



People who have been chatting with seasoned crypto traders for years have all heard this saying: "A thousand cuts won't beat the first move." This is not only a piece of wisdom for playing cards but also applies to annual trading in the crypto market. The true profit opportunities are often hidden in the market rotations of the second half of the year, while the fluctuations in the first half serve as a filter and accumulation phase. Instead of seeking the psychological satisfaction of a "good start," it's better to patiently wait for the market to give clearer signals.
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ChainProspectorvip
· 3h ago
The first half of the year is just about paying tuition, I believe that. But it also depends on luck, what if you encounter a black swan?
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Layer2Observervip
· 13h ago
Sample bias issue. Three years of data honestly are not enough to establish statistically significant patterns; it's more a case of survivor bias at play — remember the profits made in the second half of the year, while the losses in the first half have already been subconsciously filtered out.
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SchrodingerAirdropvip
· 13h ago
Damn, I also discovered this pattern. Last year's second half was indeed enjoyable, but the losses in the first half really crushed my mentality. The first half was just paying tuition, don't expect a good start, those are all traps. Wait, can we really turn things around every time in the second half? Dare to gamble this year? The fluctuations in the first half are just to filter out the chives; those who know what they're doing are holding positions. That's right, but it's really hard not to chase highs. As soon as I see a rise, I want to jump in. This pattern has been happening for three consecutive years. It feels like there's something to it, but the sample size is still too small.
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just_here_for_vibesvip
· 13h ago
The first half of the year was all about bringing in money, I believe that.
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MerkleMaidvip
· 13h ago
The second half of the year is the harvest season; only after losing so much in the first half did I realize it.
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TokenomicsDetectivevip
· 13h ago
Reliable, I came through the same way. The first half of the year is just the tuition fee phase. The second half of the year is the real harvest season, as proven in previous years. Don't be greedy during this wave at the beginning of the year, stay calm. Wait, how are you so sure that the second half of the year will definitely be successful... That’s what I’m saying, but I still have to admit that I didn’t make any money in the second half of last year. Not losing money in the first half of the year is considered a win, really.
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just_another_fishvip
· 13h ago
Wow, is this true? Why do I keep losing money every second half of the year?
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MEVHunter_9000vip
· 13h ago
The first half of the year was indeed about paying tuition fees; the second half is the real harvest time.
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