#比特币价格走势 Recently, I've seen various analyses about Bitcoin's prospects before 2026, and opinions are truly diverse. Some say it will hit new all-time highs, others predict it will rise to 170,000 within three months, and some believe it will drop below 60,000 in the first half of the year. This extreme divergence prompted me to share an observation.

Analyst predictions are essentially a game of probabilities; no one can accurately grasp the market. The fluctuations we see—from 126,000 in October to 84,000 in November—highlight this point. In the face of such uncertainty, more important than predicting prices are three key actions.

First is **Position Management**. Regardless of which forecast you trust more, you should ensure you can withstand the worst-case scenario. If some analysts say it will rise to 170,000 and others say it will fall to 60,000, your allocation should be comfortable within this range.

Second is **Maintaining a Long-Term Mindset**. No matter how volatile the first half of 2026 may be, true value is often revealed over a longer historical timeline. Institutional funds, ETF development, technological maturity—these trends won't change because of short-term fluctuations.

Finally is **Continuous Learning**. Different analyses focus on different logic—some look at liquidity, others at cycles, some at structural differences. Learning to judge which factors are more worth paying attention to is more valuable than blindly following any single prediction.

No matter how the market unfolds, prudent investors never make money relying on predictions, but on discipline and patience.