Yesterday early morning, I was awakened by a pop-up from my trading software. When I looked at the screen, I almost couldn't sit still—an asset suddenly dropped to around 5.8, and the community was completely in chaos. Some were shouting "zeroing warning," and others were already placing sell orders to cut losses. But amidst this panic, I actually saw an opportunity. I quietly built a long position around 7.958 and ended up making a profit of 1000U, sleeping soundly afterward.
Honestly, it's not that I'm particularly brave, but the signal indicating a potential bottom in this sell-off was just too obvious. Today, I want to share a method to judge whether a panic sell-off has bottomed out—three core signals that must all be present.
**First Signal: Speed of recovery after a decline.** The key here is that after a large bearish candle, the price didn't continue to fall but instead quickly rebounded as if equipped with an accelerator. What does this mean? It indicates that the selling pressure has been cleared out in one go. The remaining traders on the order book are either long-term holders or smart funds waiting for the right moment. The selling volume no longer has enough strength to push prices down further. It's like a clearance sale at a market—initially, everyone is frantically selling, but once the inventory is sold out, prices naturally stabilize, and some buyers even start to pick up bargains.
**Second Signal: Repair of short-term K-line structure.** I looked at the hourly chart. The lower shadow is as deep as a fixed sea god needle, and the successive lows are gradually rising. This shows that the bulls are gradually taking control. Many beginners are easily frightened by a large bearish candle but forget to observe the subsequent structural changes. In the crypto market, a single candle doesn't tell the whole story; the key is to look at the continuous trend. Once the lows start rising and the highs are slowly moving upward, it indicates that the bearish momentum is weakening.
**Third Signal: Volume and open interest performance.** During a sell-off, the volume needs to be sufficiently large, indicating genuine buyers are absorbing the sell orders. If the volume then begins to shrink, that's actually a good sign—showing market sentiment has shifted from extreme panic to cautious waiting. Many investors who were panic-selling have already exited, leaving behind only confident funds.
To summarize: rapid recovery + structural repair of K-line patterns + volume confirmation—when all three are present, the probability that the sell-off has bottomed out is quite high. Next time you encounter such a market condition, try analyzing it with this approach—you might also find real gold in the panic.
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NoStopLossNut
· 5h ago
1. 1000U sleeps very soundly, this mindset is good, much better than mine. Next time there's a dump, I’ll try these three signals too.
2. You make a good point, but I still think most people’s first reaction to a big bearish candle is to run, and they don’t have the time to study K-line structures.
3. The quick recovery speed is indeed a signal. I’ve fallen into this trap before, and not paying attention to it caused me to get cut multiple times.
4. The problem is how to ensure you don’t get fooled by the first signal. It often feels like false breakouts happen frequently.
5. The conclusion that all three signals are indispensable is a bit absolute. Sometimes, two signals working together can also make money.
6. I always find it hard to judge volume. Sometimes the same volume indicates a bottom, other times a top. How do you tell the difference?
7. The market stall analogy is excellent. I now am the type who runs at the first sign of a dump—learned my lesson.
8. 1000U is quite a lot, really brave. If I dared to hold heavy at a low point, I’d have been stopped out long ago and doubted my life.
9. This methodology sounds very clear, but in practice, the toughest part is the psychological barrier. When panicking, your mind goes blank.
10. Raising the low point is the most practical signal. It’s much more intuitive than just looking at technical indicators.
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SnapshotStriker
· 11h ago
Hey, this analysis has some substance, but I really want to know if your 1000U is truly sleeping soundly or if you're secretly watching the market in the middle of the night.
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SandwichTrader
· 11h ago
Speaking of which, this set of theories sounds good, but in practice, it still depends on luck. Last time, I misread the volume and got hammered directly.
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CountdownToBroke
· 11h ago
Haha, 1000U sleep reward, this deal is worth it. I was so scared by the pop-up sounds yesterday that I almost smashed my phone.
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AirdropHunterWang
· 11h ago
Wow, I just got 1000U so easily. I need to reflect on why I just can't get the rhythm right.
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WagmiOrRekt
· 11h ago
1000U sleeps soundly, I can only say I'm jealous, but this set of theories sounds a bit too perfect. Can it really hit the mark every time in practice...
Those cowards in the community shouting for zero should have been eliminated long ago. The real opportunity is reserved for those who dare to take it.
I agree that the recovery speed is fast, but the part about K-line structure recovery feels a bit like armchair strategizing. When the market was crashing, who could be sure it wouldn't continue to decline?
The logic that shrinking trading volume = good thing depends on whether no one is cutting losses anymore, or if everyone is too scared to trade.
Honestly, it still depends on individual risk tolerance. I definitely don't have your guts.
Next time there's a sell-off, I'll try to judge based on these three points. Making 500U would be a great achievement.
If your method is really this reliable, why not just open a fund directly? Hehe
Yesterday early morning, I was awakened by a pop-up from my trading software. When I looked at the screen, I almost couldn't sit still—an asset suddenly dropped to around 5.8, and the community was completely in chaos. Some were shouting "zeroing warning," and others were already placing sell orders to cut losses. But amidst this panic, I actually saw an opportunity. I quietly built a long position around 7.958 and ended up making a profit of 1000U, sleeping soundly afterward.
Honestly, it's not that I'm particularly brave, but the signal indicating a potential bottom in this sell-off was just too obvious. Today, I want to share a method to judge whether a panic sell-off has bottomed out—three core signals that must all be present.
**First Signal: Speed of recovery after a decline.** The key here is that after a large bearish candle, the price didn't continue to fall but instead quickly rebounded as if equipped with an accelerator. What does this mean? It indicates that the selling pressure has been cleared out in one go. The remaining traders on the order book are either long-term holders or smart funds waiting for the right moment. The selling volume no longer has enough strength to push prices down further. It's like a clearance sale at a market—initially, everyone is frantically selling, but once the inventory is sold out, prices naturally stabilize, and some buyers even start to pick up bargains.
**Second Signal: Repair of short-term K-line structure.** I looked at the hourly chart. The lower shadow is as deep as a fixed sea god needle, and the successive lows are gradually rising. This shows that the bulls are gradually taking control. Many beginners are easily frightened by a large bearish candle but forget to observe the subsequent structural changes. In the crypto market, a single candle doesn't tell the whole story; the key is to look at the continuous trend. Once the lows start rising and the highs are slowly moving upward, it indicates that the bearish momentum is weakening.
**Third Signal: Volume and open interest performance.** During a sell-off, the volume needs to be sufficiently large, indicating genuine buyers are absorbing the sell orders. If the volume then begins to shrink, that's actually a good sign—showing market sentiment has shifted from extreme panic to cautious waiting. Many investors who were panic-selling have already exited, leaving behind only confident funds.
To summarize: rapid recovery + structural repair of K-line patterns + volume confirmation—when all three are present, the probability that the sell-off has bottomed out is quite high. Next time you encounter such a market condition, try analyzing it with this approach—you might also find real gold in the panic.