2026-01-03 04:21:35

Institutional funds have reshaped the rules of the crypto market. Looking back at 2025, retail investors' ways of survival have been completely changed.

First, stop clinging to the old narrative of halving cycles. What truly drives the market now are macro variables like Federal Reserve policies and the 《GENIUS Act》. Those who can sense these signals more keenly will seize the opportunity. The focus of market monitoring has shifted from technical analysis to news and policy developments.

Second, high-volatility altcoins have become retail investors' meat grinder. Many small tokens have fallen over 60% this year, while mainstream assets like BTC and ETH, which are favored by institutional allocations, are being continuously bought. Following institutional logic and allocating to top assets is not conservatism—it's the bottom line for survival.

Third, at the execution level, traders need to learn how to do the math. Use the low-latency environment provided by exchanges to repeatedly test low-risk strategies like basis arbitrage with small positions. While it’s difficult to replicate those million-dollar profit cases, strictly controlling order cancellations and standardizing risk management can at least keep risks within bounds.

Ultimately, what does 2025 tell us? Crypto assets are no longer just a retail show; they have become a systemic variable in the global financial ecosystem. Only by truly understanding and following institutional logic, and maintaining compliance and risk control bottom lines, can one stand firm amid this wave of intense volatility.

BTC0.31%

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 58m ago

The era of retail investors is really over; now it's all about institutional players' games. --- The halving cycle should have been thrown into the trash long ago. Focusing on the Federal Reserve's actions is the right way. --- I got burned by altcoin scams last year. Now I only dare to touch top-tier coins. --- Basis arbitrage sounds sophisticated, but in practice, it's just small amounts repeatedly grinding. Risk control is the key to survival. --- I'm tired of hearing the words compliance and risk control. Isn't that just how it has to be played? --- Institutions are ruthless. While they keep buying BTC nonstop, I was still debating whether altcoins would rise. --- Basically, it's about whether to follow institutions or not. Picking the wrong team means getting cut. --- I agree that news sentiment is more important than technical analysis, but how many people can really react quickly? --- Low-risk strategies and risk control discipline sound right, but making money is becoming increasingly difficult. --- Face the reality: retail investors either hold top-tier coins and lie low or get out of the market.

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AirdropHunterZhang

· 10h ago

Uh, that's true, but right now I rely on watching the news to harvest profits. Small coins really cut me deep.

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Rugman_Walking

· 10h ago

The halving cycle is indeed outdated now; it's all about who can seize the policy dividends first. Chasing after high-priced altcoins has turned everyone into a leek; it's better to honestly buy BTC and ETH with institutions. Basis arbitrage sounds good, but the transaction fees can't be too high. The bottom line of compliance must be maintained; otherwise, even huge profits are pointless. If risk control isn't well managed, you'll have to pay it back sooner or later.

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MetaEggplant

· 10h ago

The halving cycle is already outdated; playing along with macro policies is the right way now. Exactly, I haven't touched any of those trash coins this year. Institutions are the real players; we need to follow their rhythm. Basis arbitrage sounds simple, but in practice, it still requires a lot of practice. Risk control really can't be sloppy; only after losing money do you understand. BTC and ETH are safe assets; everything else is gambling.

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AirdropDreamBreaker

· 10h ago

I've already said it, altcoins are a trap. Is it still not too late to regret now? When institutions change the rules, retail investors can only accept it and follow suit. Paying more attention to policy developments is much more useful than watching K-line charts. I realized this a bit late. Focusing on those small coins can easily lead to heavy losses; sticking with BTC is the safer bet. The basis arbitrage strategy is really something you need to learn, or you're just giving money to institutions for free.

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WalletInspector

· 10h ago

Retail investors can't compete with institutions, it's about time to recognize this point --- It's another basis arbitrage, hearing about it gives me a headache. It's better to just allocate to top-tier assets for stability --- The halving cycle is outdated now; we need to focus on the Fed's every move --- Altcoins have dropped over 60%? My small coins have already gone to zero, lessons learned the hard way --- Risk control discipline? Easy to say, but who can hold up at critical moments? --- Just follow the institutions, no need to think about overtaking on curves --- Policies like the GENIUS Act are the new rules of the game. Ignore them and you'll get cut --- Low-latency arbitrage sounds simple, but in practice? Most end up losing money --- Compliance and risk control are the bottom line. You can't survive without sticking to them --- Switching from technical analysis to policy focus, I should throw away my candlestick charts and technical indicators

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DuckFluff

· 10h ago

Everything is clear now. The halving narrative is really outdated. Now, it's all about watching the Fed and policy directions. Altcoins are indeed a meat grinder; I've been losing money on them for a long time. It's more reliable to stick with BTC. I've tried the basis arbitrage; it can be more stable, but the returns are so low that it's exhausting.

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