#价格分析预测 Seeing Arthur Hayes's latest predictive analysis, I need to carefully sort out the logic behind it—this is not just a simple price guess, but a deep reflection on monetary policy and asset revaluation.

The Federal Reserve's Reserve Management Purchase Program (RMP) appears to be a stable operation on the surface, but essentially it is a disguised form of money printing. Once the market collectively realizes that this is quantitative easing, risk assets will experience a frenzy of re-pricing. Bitcoin could surge to 200,000 USD before March, driven by an overflow of liquidity.

But here is a key turning point—March is not the end, but the expected peak. The subsequent correction pressure should not be underestimated; Bitcoin might fall to around 124,000 USD to find support. This reminds us that any increase comes with risks, and we must stay alert at all times.

Interestingly, Hayes is also optimistic about emerging sectors like ENA, which exemplifies innovation in the Web3 ecosystem—under the macro cycle backdrop, some breakthrough projects can stand out and are worth paying attention to.

Short-term price fluctuations are just surface phenomena; the real value lies in understanding how the entire system operates. Catch this cycle, but don’t forget risk management—this is the wisdom for long-term survival in the crypto world.