#比特币价格走势 Seeing Citibank's forecast of $143,000, I need to calm down and think it through carefully. Going from $88,000 to $143,000, a 62% increase, is indeed tempting, but there are many nuances involved.

I've seen many institutional predictions like this—last year was also full of claims like "breaking $100,000 within the year," but everyone knows how that turned out. The key point is that Citibank itself provided three forecast ranges: $78,500 to $189,000, which is such a wide span that it’s almost meaningless. This precisely illustrates how high the market uncertainty is.

I noticed they emphasize the $70,000 support level and the rebound in ETF demand. These are indeed worth paying attention to, but we also need to be cautious—when institutions are bullish, it often means they have already built their positions. ETF demand is a real factor, but don’t equate "increased demand" with "price must rise." That’s a trap many newcomers fall into.

Anyone who has gone through several cycles understands: prediction is never more important than risk management. Instead of worrying about whether the price will reach $143,000, ask yourself three questions—does this price level fit your cost structure, can you withstand a drop to $78,500, and do you have enough cash on hand to handle emergencies.

Institutions being bullish isn’t wrong; chasing the trend and buying at the high is the real problem.