#美联储降息政策 The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has reached 75.6%. This data reflects a clear slowdown in the pace of rate cuts—markets were previously expecting continuous rate reductions, but now it seems we need to prepare for a prolonged battle.

Even more interesting is the upcoming rate hike by the Bank of Japan. As Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, a rate increase there would attract capital back, pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. This directly threatens the previous logic of lowering mortgage rates and boosting the stock market. In other words, the expectation of rate cuts was already waning, and now Japan’s move is stirring the pot.

Regarding the impact on copy trading strategies, my personal feeling is this: traders who heavily bet on rate cuts may need to adjust their pace. Especially for tech stock copy portfolios that rely on a low-interest-rate environment, a reassessment is necessary. Conversely, traders with a stable style and good risk management during volatility might find new opportunities. If you are using position-splitting copy trading, now is the time to refine your style choices—no longer simply chasing high yields, but paying attention to how traders adapt when policies shift.

The bottom line is: policy expectations have changed, and trading logic must change as well. Watching how top traders respond to this turning point is more valuable than just looking at historical returns.